Match Info

Hazfi Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman		Fajr Sepasi

	1	X	2
	5.3	3.02	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.3 ↑ (3.41)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)	1.72 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
17.1%

Draw
30.1%

Fajr Sepasi
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

30.8%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

31.5%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman's form might have worsened.

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fajr Sepasi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fajr Sepasi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (5 - 3)

Preview

Mes Shahr-e Babak is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Fajr Sepasi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mes Shahr-e Babak may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fajr Sepasi is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mes Shahr-e Babak won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mes Shahr-e Babak won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
Iran Division 1
14.11.25	Besat Kermanshah - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Damash Gilan	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Sanat Naft - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - SaiPa	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWW
- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Pro League
07.11.25	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Rafsanjan	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Paykan - Fajr Sepasi	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Fajr Sepasi	0:1 ✺
25.09.25	Tractor Sazi - Fajr Sepasi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
13.05.24	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	3:1
29.11.23	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Fajr Sepasi	0:0
23.05.23	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Fajr Sepasi	1:0
31.12.22	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:1

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