Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 17

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Shahrdari Noshahr		Mes Sungun

	1	X	2
	2.26	3.02	3.19	Watch
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.25	2.88	3.24
	2.28	2.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.84)	2.91 ↑ (2.86)	3.2 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shahrdari Noshahr
40.4%

Draw
31.2%

Mes Sungun
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

31.7%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

32.7%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shahrdari Noshahr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shahrdari Noshahr's form might have worsened.

Mes Sungun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mes Sungun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahrdari Noshahr than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shahrdari Noshahr, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Sungun than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mes Sungun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Shahrdari Noshahr - Mes Sungun Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Shahrdari Noshahr will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Mes Sungun will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 0, Abshak M. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Shahrdari Noshahr has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mes Sungun's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shahrdari Noshahr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shahrdari Noshahr will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shahrdari Noshahr won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shahrdari Noshahr
Iran Division 1
20.12.25	Niroye Zamini - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - SaiPa	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Mes Kerman - Shahrdari Noshahr	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Sanat Naft	0:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.11.25	Paykan - Shahrdari Noshahr	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTLL
- Mes Sungun FSC
Iran Division 1
13.12.25	Mes Sungun - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Shenavarsazi Qeshm - Mes Sungun	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Mes Sungun - Damash Gilan	0:0 ✺
14.11.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Mes Sungun	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Mes Sungun - Besat Kermanshah	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
16.11.24	Mes Sungun - Shahrdari Noshahr	2:2

Shahrdari Noshahr - Mes Sungun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide