Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group C - Round 18

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Mestre		Lavis

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.25	8.25
	1.26	5.2	8.6
	1.25	5.25	9.25
	1.3	4.9	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.54)	5.15 ↑ (3.93)	8.48 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mestre
71.6%

Draw
17.6%

Lavis
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

15.2%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mestre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mestre's performance.

Lavis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lavis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (-32.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mestre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lavis than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lavis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mestre - Lavis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Vianni S. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Ceccarini R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 1, Bangal F. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently Lavis have a series of home games.

In this match Mestre is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Mestre
Italian Serie D - Group C
01.12.24	Mestre - Real Calepina	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Mestre - Brusaporto	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
06.11.24	Adriese - Mestre	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group C
03.11.24	Mestre - Brian Lignano	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Calvi Noale - Mestre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLLL
- US Lavis
Italian Serie D - Group C
08.12.24	Lavis - Este	1:4 ✺
01.12.24	Lavis - Bassano Virtus	3:2 ✺
17.11.24	Lavis - Real Calepina	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Lavis - Brusaporto	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Luparense - Lavis	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLLL

Mestre - Lavis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide