Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 24

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: OSC Metalist (Kharkiv)


	Metalist Kharkiv		Bukovyna Chernivtsi

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.15	1.39
	6.87	3.99	1.37
	7.72	4.13	1.4	Watch
	8	3.6	1.4
	8.25	3.98	1.37
	4.7	3.52	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.17 ↑ (4.7)	3.9 ↑ (3.52)	1.42 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
12.7%

Draw
23.3%

Bukovyna Chernivtsi
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

25.1%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

24.7%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metalist Kharkiv's form might have worsened.

Bukovyna Chernivtsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bukovyna Chernivtsi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metalist Kharkiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bukovyna Chernivtsi than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bukovyna Chernivtsi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Metalist Kharkiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Metalist will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bukovyna will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Rybak V. (C) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 8. Digtyar K. 27. Isaenko Y. 19. Kaydalov D. 7. Lutsiv P. 38. Palyanychka K. 5. Pidruchnyi D. 31. Porokh B. 11. Tsvirenko O. 20. Vernattus D.	30. Kanevtsev D. (G) 3. Bezuglyy M. 24. Busko A. 8. Dakhnovskyi V. 25. Grusha V. 7. Kozhushko O. 12. Pidlepenets Y. 4. Sakiv T. 95. Stasyuk P. (C) 44. Vitenchuk V. 13. Voytikhovskiy M.
Substitutes
29. Abramov Y. 21. Goryainov O. 39. Gryshchenko I. 9. Lutsiv V. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 35. Pletnyov P. (G) 30. Shapovalov I. 33. Sherstyuk Y. 41. Smatko A. (G) 14. Vlaga K.	89. Dubovik R. 15. Gakman V. 93. Gamolov N. 88. Gorenko R. 20. Koltsov V. 74. Morgovskyi Y. 94. Penkov G. (G) 22. Plaksa R. 1. Pogorilyi D. (G) 37. Prokopchuk K. 14. Shynkarenko D. 27. Tyshchenko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Dakhnovskyi V. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Dakhnovskyi V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Isaenko Y. ↓, Vlaga K. ↑,
52', Pidruchnyi D. 🟨,
69', Voytikhovskiy M. 🟨,
72', Pidlepenets Y. ↓, Shynkarenko D. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Porokh B. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Metalist is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bukovyna is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Bukovyna is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalist won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalist won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Metalist Kharkiv	10	4	2	4	11:11	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.04.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Metalist Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
07.04.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Chernihiv	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Metalist Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Viktoriya Sumy	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Probiy Horodenka - Metalist Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTWW
- Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.04.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Feniks-Mariupol	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Chernihiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Metalist Kharkiv	2:0
09.11.24	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Metalist Kharkiv	2:1
15.09.24	Metalist Kharkiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:1
04.11.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	2:3
02.09.23	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0

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