Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: MCS Rukh (Ivano-Frankivsk)


	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk		Metalist Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.00	3.20
	2.12	3.05	3.3
	2.14	3.15	3.16
	2.65	3.06	2.61	Watch
	2.23	3.22	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.65)	3.1 ↑ (3.06)	3.1 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk
40.8%

Draw
29.6%

Metalist Kharkiv
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.1%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

30.2%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk's performance.

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metalist Kharkiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metalist Kharkiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Prykarpattia Ivano Frankivsk - Metalist Kharkiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bobynets A. (G) 27. Chushenko V. 23. Demkiv S. 3. Frantsuz V. 21. Mykhalchuk P. 88. Protsiv M. 7. Radulsky Y. 44. Runich V. 30. Shvets S. 10. Solovyov M. 14. Tsyutsyura V. (C)	35. Pletnyov P. (G) 29. Abramov Y. 10. Bagachanskyi M. (C) 19. Kaydalov D. 2. Mizyuk O. 31. Porokh B. 17. Prykhodko D. 6. Teplyakov D. 11. Tsvirenko O. 20. Vernattus D. 14. Vlaga K.
Substitutes
99. Bespalko Y. 8. Demchenko Y. 34. Genyk V. 9. Graban M. 4. Korol V. 77. Kos O. 19. Kozenko V. 41. Marusych M. 24. Pitsan I. (G) 95. Rusyn R. 17. Stadnik M. 29. Vladyslav O.	39. Gryshchenko I. 27. Isaenko Y. 46. Kolotay M. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 43. Polyakov G. (G) 30. Shapovalov I. 33. Sherstyuk Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Prykhodko D. 🟨,
64', Protsiv M. ↓, Kozenko V. ↑,
70', Prykhodko D. ↓, Orikhovskyi M. ↑,
72', Orikhovskyi M. 🟨,
78', Radulsky Y. ↓, Graban M. ↑,
80', Solovyov M. 🟨,
80', Tsvirenko O. ↓, Gryshchenko I. ↑,
80', Kaydalov D. ↓, Isaenko Y. ↑,
86', Tsyutsyura V. ↓, Kos O. ↑,
86', Solovyov M. ↓, Bespalko Y. ↑,
89', Kos O. 🟨,
90+2', Bagachanskyi M. ↓, Sherstyuk Y. ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Prykarpattia won 0.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Prykarpattia has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:16 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Prykarpattia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 3:8 goals (averaging 0.8:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Prykarpattya	10	4	3	3	12:9	3	15
9	Metalist Kharkiv	10	4	2	4	11:11	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.09.26	Inhulets - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - UCSA	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
16.09.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.09.26	Nyva Ternopil - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Oleksandriya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWT
- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.09.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Inhulets - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Metalist Kharkiv - UCSA	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.04.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Metalist Kharkiv	0:0
13.09.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	2:1
23.11.24	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Metalist Kharkiv	1:2
28.09.24	Metalist Kharkiv - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	2:1
10.11.23	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Metalist Kharkiv	1:2
11.10.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	0:1
13.11.21	Metalist Kharkiv - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	4:0

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