The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metalist Kharkiv 38.5%
Draw 30%
Chernihiv 31.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.8%
28.6%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
28.2%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metalist Kharkiv's form might have worsened.
Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metalist Kharkiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Metalist Kharkiv - Chernihiv Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Pletnyov P. (G) 29. Abramov Y. 10. Bagachanskyi M. (C) 19. Kaydalov D. 2. Mizyuk O. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 17. Prykhodko D. 6. Teplyakov D. 11. Tsvirenko O. 20. Vernattus D. 14. Vlaga K.
35. Tatarenko M. (C) 21. Bezborodko D. 13. Galoyan S. 2. Galstyan E. 12. Kartushov Y. 44. Plakhtyr D. 87. Rogozynskyi V. 77. Serdyuk M. 6. Shalfeev Y. 38. Shushko P. 23. Zenchenko O.
Substitutes
39. Gryshchenko I. 38. Igorovych G. 27. Isaenko Y. 9. Lutsiv V. 43. Polyakov G. (G) 21. Zdankov D. (G)
26. Azizov D. 15. Bezgubchenko D. 8. Bybik A. 24. Didok D. 20. Fateev D. 99. Gerasymenko D. (G) 7. Myronenko D. 11. Novikov A. 33. Porokhnya A. 55. Romanchenko A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Prykhodko D. 🟨,
40', Bezborodko D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bezborodko D. ↓, Novikov A. ↑,
61', Galoyan S. ↓, Porokhnya A. ↑,
61', Rogozynskyi V. ↓, Bezgubchenko D. ↑,
63', Zenchenko O. 🟨,
72', Shalfeev Y. ↓, Myronenko D. ↑,
75', Zenchenko O. ↓, Romanchenko A. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Galstyan E. (Own goal),
85', Orikhovskyi M. ↓, Gryshchenko I. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Prykhodko D. ⚽,
90+3', Prykhodko D. ↓, Zdankov D. ↑,
90+3', Kaydalov D. ↓, Isaenko Y. ↑,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 14th in the Persha Liga (Relegation Group: )).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Metalist may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Metalist has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Metalist against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
Watch
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Pletnyov P. (G) 
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