Match Info

UKRAINE: PERSHA LIGA - ROUND 9

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Metalist Kharkiv		Khust

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.6
	1.97	3.3	3.54
	1.91	3.2	3.5
	1.96	3.25	3.57
	1.97	3.2	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.51)	3.24 ↓ (3.56)	3.55 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
46.5%

Draw
28%

Khust
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

27%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

28.1%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metalist Kharkiv's performance.

Khust has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Khust might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metalist Kharkiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khust than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Khust could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Rybak V. (G) 21. Bagachanskyi M. 22. Busko A. 8. Digtyar K. 99. Gabriel Gomes (C) 27. Isaenko Y. 24. Lutsiv P. 23. Lutsiv V. 18. Matkobozhyk O. 70. Morarenko S. 9. Synchuk G.	1. Levchenko I. (C) 19. Borysenko V. 94. Ivanov V. 9. Merdeev V. 17. Pavlych B. 21. Prykhodko N. 14. Shevchuk V. 99. Stankovych I. 22. Tykhnenko I. 33. Vadovsky M. 8. Vagin I.
Substitutes
29. Abramov Y. 31. Fastov D. (G) 4. Golubka Y. 16. Gorenko R. 13. Goryainov O. 37. Krasnikov Y. 5. Pidruchnyi D. 17. Prykhodko D. 7. Ryazantsev Y. 6. Teplyakov D. 20. Vernattus D. 88. Victor Yan	35. Banyk D. 55. Dyianchuk D. 13. Kolchin K. 18. Merdeev M. (G) 15. Pylyp M. 27. Ryabenko V. (G) 25. Skyba Y. 20. Vasylynets V.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation Group: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Metalist could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.09.23	Kudrivka - Metalist Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
25.08.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Karpaty Lviv	0:3 ✺
20.08.23	Nyva Ternopil - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TLLWT
- FC Khust
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.09.23	Khust - Nyva Ternopil	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Kudrivka - Khust	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Khust - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:1 ✺
28.08.23	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Khust	7:0 ✺
19.08.23	Khust - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WTWLL

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