Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Bukovyna Stadium (Chernivtsi)


	Bukovyna Chernivtsi		Metalist Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.6	8.25
	1.14	6.5	17.5
	1.13	5.93	17
	1.29	4.4	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.38)	5.36 ↑ (4.3)	12.79 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bukovyna Chernivtsi
75.7%

Draw
17.2%

Metalist Kharkiv
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

20.8%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

19.4%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bukovyna Chernivtsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bukovyna Chernivtsi's performance.

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metalist Kharkiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bukovyna Chernivtsi than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bukovyna Chernivtsi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metalist Kharkiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Metalist Kharkiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kanevtsev D. (G) 3. Bezuglyy M. 24. Busko A. 8. Dakhnovskyi V. 25. Grusha V. 7. Kozhushko O. 74. Morgovskyi Y. 12. Pidlepenets Y. 22. Plaksa R. 95. Stasyuk P. (C) 44. Vitenchuk V.	25. Rybak V. (C) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 24. Fedoriv V. 19. Kaydalov D. 7. Lutsiv P. 2. Mizyuk O. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 5. Pidruchnyi D. 33. Sherstyuk Y. 6. Teplyakov D. 11. Tsvirenko O.
Substitutes
17. Andreychuk A. 10. Boychuk B. 70. Fedotov N. (G) 15. Gakman V. 2. Karas D. 19. Kilyevyi A. 20. Koltsov V. 94. Penkov G. (G) 37. Prokopchuk K. 4. Sakiv T. 14. Shynkarenko D. 27. Tyshchenko I.	21. Goryainov O. 39. Gryshchenko I. 9. Lutsiv V. 38. Palyanychka K. 35. Pletnyov P. (G) 17. Prykhodko D. 32. Shakhmayev M. 30. Shapovalov I. 40. Shevchenko M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Pidlepenets Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 2 - 0, Kozhushko O. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).

Bukovyna is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Metalist's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Bukovyna is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Bukovyna will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bukovyna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bukovyna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.09.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	2:3 ✺
22.09.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
18.09.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Karpaty Lviv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.09.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Chernihiv	4:1 ✺
05.09.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWWWW
- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.09.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
25.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Metalist Kharkiv	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.25	Metalist Kharkiv - LNZ Cherkasy	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.09.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.11.24	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Metalist Kharkiv	2:1
15.09.24	Metalist Kharkiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:1
04.11.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	2:3
02.09.23	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0

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