Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 26

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ternopilsky Misky Stadion (Ternopil)


	Nyva Ternopil		Metalist Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.92	2.45
	2.87	2.95	2.35
	2.61	3.05	2.66	Watch
	2.9	2.7	2.4
	2.92	2.97	2.37
	2.57	2.85	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.57)	2.91 ↑ (2.85)	2.47 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nyva Ternopil
32.3%

Draw
31.1%

Metalist Kharkiv
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

29.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nyva Ternopil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Metalist Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nyva Ternopil than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Nyva Ternopil - Metalist Kharkiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Olkhovyi I. (G) 94. Burtnyk V. 44. Davydov S. (C) 35. Demyanchuk A. 4. Demydenko A. 30. Galas T. 21. Gerega O. 11. Mykhalchuk M. 10. Palamarchuk I. 17. Pezhynskyi M. 90. Ugrynyuk M.	25. Rybak V. (C) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 8. Digtyar K. 24. Fedoriv V. 19. Kaydalov D. 7. Lutsiv P. 31. Porokh B. 17. Prykhodko D. 6. Teplyakov D. 11. Tsvirenko O. 20. Vernattus D.
Substitutes
14. Bats M. 70. Dudik A. 27. Mykhayliv V. 45. Napuda V. 96. Pach Y. 18. Posyevkin R. 91. Rezepov D. 23. Sharun V. (G)	21. Goryainov O. 27. Isaenko Y. 9. Lutsiv V. 2. Mizyuk O. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 38. Palyanychka K. 35. Pletnyov P. (G) 33. Sherstyuk Y. 14. Vlaga K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Palamarchuk I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, Napuda V. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nyva T won 1.

Nyva T is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Metalist has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nyva T may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nyva T won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nyva T won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Metalist Kharkiv	11	4	3	4	13:13	0	15
12	Nyva Ternopil	10	2	5	3	9:9	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nyva Ternopil
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.04.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Nyva Ternopil - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	Nyva Ternopil - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLTL
- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.04.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Feniks-Mariupol	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Metalist Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
07.04.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Chernihiv	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Metalist Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:2
13.10.24	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	2:0
25.08.24	Nyva Ternopil - Metalist Kharkiv	1:1
22.10.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	0:0
20.08.23	Nyva Ternopil - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1
02.10.21	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	2:1

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