Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 26

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Avanhard Stadium (Uzhorod)

Referee: Kovalenko A. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Unian TV


	Metalist Kharkiv		Zorya Luhansk

	1	X	2
	8.75	5	1.33
	7.5	5.3	1.29
	10.02	5.06	1.33
	8.5	4.6	1.3
	8.6	5.2	1.33	Watch
	8.2	5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.6 ↑ (7.4)	5.03 ↑ (4.8)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
10.8%

Draw
18.5%

Zorya Luhansk
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

19.8%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

19.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Zorya Luhansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Metalist Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Metalist will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Zorya will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zorya: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metalist won 2.

Metalist is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zorya in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Zorya have a series of home games.

In this match Zorya is absolute favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Metalist won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Metalist won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
07.05.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Lviv	1:0 ✺
03.05.23	Dnipro-1 - Metalist Kharkiv	5:0 ✺
28.04.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Dynamo Kyiv	1:3 ✺
22.04.23	Vorskla Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	3:2 ✺
15.04.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Veres Rivne	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLT
- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
08.05.23	Zorya Luhansk - Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
03.05.23	Zorya Luhansk - Veres Rivne	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Zorya Luhansk - Chornomorets Odesa	3:1 ✺
21.04.23	Kolos Kovalivka - Zorya Luhansk	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Zorya Luhansk - Dnipro-1	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
05.11.22	Zorya Luhansk - Metalist Kharkiv	3:2
22.11.15	Metalist Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk	0:1
25.07.15	Zorya Luhansk - Metalist Kharkiv	0:0
30.11.14	Metalist Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk	4:2
27.07.14	Zorya Luhansk - Metalist Kharkiv	1:2
17.04.14	Metalist Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk	1:1
03.08.13	Zorya Luhansk - Metalist Kharkiv	2:2

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