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Current Win Probability
Zorya Luhansk 58.7%
Draw 24%
Chornomorets Odesa 17.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.9%
24.9%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
24.3%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zorya Luhansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Zorya Luhansk - Chornomorets Odesa Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Zorya will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Saputin O. (G) 44. Perduta I. 77. Kushnirenko B. 3. Kravets V. 39. Machelyuk A. 88. Bah S. 8. Dryshlyuk K. 18. Boyko M. 27. Jelavic D. 30. Nesterenko I. 28. Budkivskyi P. (C)
12. Aniagboso C. (G) 60. Melnychenko M. 24. Jarju M. 74. Faryna M. 27. Pushkaryov O. 11. Popov K. 18. Robakidze G. 10. Avagimyan A. (C) 30. Jobe M. 13. Faraseyenko V. 99. Mba C.
Substitutes
21. Basic J. 4. Eskinja G. 14. Glushchenko A. 11. Gorbach I. 40. Italo Henrique 5. Janjic A. 55. Jordan 10. Juninho 23. Karavashchenko l. (G) 6. Popara D. 25. Rybak V. (G) 80. Yurchenko V.
7. Alefirenko D. 16. Bayda N. (G) 23. Gusev O. 9. Khoma A. 21. Klymenko V. 8. Klyots D. 35. Koval M. (G) 4. Kratov M. 5. Kurko V. 20. Stepovyi N. 52. Yarmola S.
Coaches
Skrypnyk V.
Grygorchuk R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Boyko M. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Mba C. ⚽, Faraseyenko V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Faraseyenko V. ↓, Alefirenko D. ↑,
48', Perduta I. 🟨,
57', Dryshlyuk K. ↓, Popara D. ↑,
57', Bah S. ↓, Yurchenko V. ↑,
60', Popara D. 🟨,
71', Jelavic D. ↓, Glushchenko A. ↑,
73', Popov K. ↓, Khoma A. ↑,
74', Budkivskyi P. 🟨,
77', Avagimyan A. ↓, Klyots D. ↑,
88', Nesterenko I. ↓, Gorbach I. ↑,
88', Boyko M. ↓, Eskinja G. ↑,
88', Jobe M. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Kushnirenko B. ⚽, Yurchenko V. (A),
90+2', Kravets V. 🟨,
90+2', Jarju M. 🟨,
90+3', Jobe M. ↓, Kurko V. ↑,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 6th and 14th in the Persha Liga (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 3.
Zorya is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Chornomorets have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Zorya may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Zorya has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Chornomorets has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Zorya is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zorya has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:12 (averaging 2:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zorya against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 25:5 goals (averaging 2.5:0.5 per game).
Ukraine
International
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Saputin O. (G) 
Bah S. 
Jelavic D. 
Aniagboso C. (G) 
Jarju M. 
Robakidze G. 
Eskinja G. 
Italo Henrique 
Janjic A. 
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