Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - DIVISION A SILVER - FALL SEASON - ROUND 12

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Metallurg Lipetsk		Chertanovo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.28	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.36)	3.28 ↑ (3.18)	3.13 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Lipetsk
43.3%

Draw
27.7%

Chertanovo
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.5%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

30%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Chertanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Matyusha M. (G) 77. Arustamyan A. 13. Boldyrev M. D. 6. Dorofeev N. 10. Grigorjev M. 5. Krikunenko A. 17. Mosiyan S. 8. Pakhomov D. 3. Polikutin I. 22. Rybin A. 20. Voydel R.	55. Radionov A. (G) 13. Bartasevich V. (C) 33. Dudkin K. 96. Konev A. 54. Nafikov V. 21. Pankov E. A. 92. Popov P. 44. Redkovich D. 97. Semyonov S. 7. Tyumentsev D. 41. Yamlikhanov R.
Substitutes
4. Chernyakov D. 2. Eleev M. 21. Gorbatenko S. K. 18. Khizriev G. 16. Kobzev A. (G) 27. Korotkikh I. 7. Semin D. 14. Smirnykh N. 15. Ushakov E. 11. Zabotkin M. 9. Zhukovskiy K.	24. Belkovsky M. 68. Gatin B. 50. Khomyakov A. 30. Lyakhov K. 93. Molodnyakov D. 8. Selyukov A. 79. Yakimenko M. 1. Zadiraka V. (G)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metallurg Lipetsk won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Metallurg Lipetsk won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Metallurg Lipetsk won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
23.09.23	Metallurg Lipetsk - Amkar Perm	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Chelyabinsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Metallurg Lipetsk - Salyut Belgorod	2:2 ✺
02.09.23	Rodina Moscow 2 - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Metallurg Lipetsk - Avangard Kursk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLTWL
- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
23.09.23	Chertanovo - Rodina Moscow 2	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Amkar Perm - Chertanovo	1:1 ✺
07.09.23	Chertanovo - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
01.09.23	Chertanovo - Forte Taganrog	5:0 ✺
27.08.23	Novosibirsk - Chertanovo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL Center
07.05.17	Metallurg Lipetsk - Chertanovo	0:1
02.10.16	Chertanovo - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:2
23.05.16	Chertanovo - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:4
11.10.15	Metallurg Lipetsk - Chertanovo	1:1
Russian Cup
24.07.15	Metallurg Lipetsk - Chertanovo	5:1
Russian PFL Center
27.05.15	Chertanovo - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:1
14.07.14	Metallurg Lipetsk - Chertanovo	3:2

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