Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 15

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina (Moscow)


	Rodina Moscow 2		Metallurg Lipetsk

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.7	5.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)	4.7 ↑ (4.3)	5.83 ↓ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow 2
65%

Draw
19.4%

Metallurg Lipetsk
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21.3%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

20.3%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 2 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Koryakin A. (G) 18. Abdusalamov M. 93. Antonov I. 95. Chernyshev D. 22. Gapechkin A. (C) 3. Kolobov E. 12. Markitesov D. 48. Shilov D. 87. Stefanishin A. 79. Svintsov D. 21. Yudintsev G.	74. Yavorski N. (G) 22. Bushuev D. 19. Glebov I. 17. Glukhov E. 14. Gordienko V. 4. Gorunkov N. 42. Lapshov I. 8. Pakhomov D. (C) 87. Roshchin A. 67. Tkachuk R. 6. Velikorodnyi D.
Substitutes
71. Atamanskiy I. 25. Basyrov S. 96. Belokhonov A. 97. Danilov T. 77. Gaziev A. 27. Malygin D. 98. Pavlov N. (G) 49. Popov O. 43. Shaykhtdinov R. 94. Slivin A. 73. Truntaev E. Y.	15. Elizarov M. 31. Gaiduk S. 77. Kiselev N. 16. Kobzev A. (G) 91. Komar S. 23. Kononenko N. 27. Korotkikh I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kolobov E. ↓, Truntaev E. Y. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Shilov D. ⚽,
57', Roshchin A. ↓, Elizarov M. ↑,
57', Glukhov E. ↓, Gaiduk S. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Tkachuk R. (Own goal),
63', Velikorodnyi D. ↓, Kononenko N. ↑,
70', Svintsov D. ↓, Slivin A. ↑,
70', Chernyshev D. ↓, Popov O. ↑,
76', Abdusalamov M. ↓, Basyrov S. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Gaiduk S. ⚽,
90+2', Shilov D. ↓, Malygin D. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodina 2 won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Rodina 2 is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rodina 2 won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Rodina 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow 2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
20.10.24	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Rodina Moscow 2	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Rodina Moscow 2 - Dynamo Bryansk	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Krasnodar 2 - Rodina Moscow 2	3:4 ✺
29.09.24	Rodina Moscow 2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	5:0 ✺
22.09.24	Irtysh Omsk - Rodina Moscow 2	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWW
- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
19.10.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Dynamo Bryansk	4:1 ✺
12.10.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Torpedo Miass	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
31.08.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
28.04.24	Rodina Moscow 2 - Metallurg Lipetsk	5:1
18.03.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:1
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
28.10.23	Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:0
02.09.23	Rodina Moscow 2 - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
05.11.22	Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 2	2:0
10.09.22	Rodina Moscow 2 - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:1

Rodina Moscow 2 - Metallurg Lipetsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide