Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 20

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Metallurg Lipetsk		Avangard Kursk

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.88	4.18
	1.64	3.66	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.04)	3.77 ↑ (3.2)	4.19 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Lipetsk
54.2%

Draw
24.1%

Avangard Kursk
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.6%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

28.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metallurg Lipetsk's performance.

Avangard Kursk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metallurg Lipetsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Metallurg Lipetsk - Avangard Kursk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Grigorjev D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Knyazev D. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Ivashov M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg Lipetsk won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Metallurg Lipetsk has had a series of away games.

Recently, Avangard Kursk has had a series of home games.

In this match, Metallurg Lipetsk is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Metallurg Lipetsk won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg Lipetsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Lipetsk	26	14	6	6	47:28	19	48
9	Kursk	26	8	8	10	31:38	-7	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
15.08.26	Volna Kovernino - Metallurg Lipetsk	3:2 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Murom - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Ryazan	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Rotor 2 - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:3 ✺
25.07.26	Kvant Obninsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTWT
- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
15.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Zenit Penza	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
09.08.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Avangard Kursk	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Strogino Moskva	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	Avangard Kursk - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
20.05.26	Avangard Kursk - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:1
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
21.10.23	Avangard Kursk - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:2
27.08.23	Metallurg Lipetsk - Avangard Kursk	0:2
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
22.09.22	Avangard Kursk - Metallurg Lipetsk	3:3
24.07.22	Metallurg Lipetsk - Avangard Kursk	0:2
04.06.21	Avangard Kursk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:2
03.11.20	Metallurg Lipetsk - Avangard Kursk	1:0

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