The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metropolitano 58.6%
Draw 23.7%
Nação 17.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.7%
24.2%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59%
22.9%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metropolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Nação has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nação than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Metropolitano - Nação Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 5th and 9th).
Metropolitano has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Nação has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Metropolitano may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Metropolitano is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Metropolitano has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:7 (averaging 2.8:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Metropolitano against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:4 goals (averaging 4.5:2 per game).
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