Match Info
Copa Santa Catarina - Round 3Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Figueirense |
|
Nação |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.32 |
4.10 |
9.50 |
|
 |
1.28 |
4.32 |
10.04 |
|
 |
1.33 |
4.18 |
10.55 |
|
 |
1.27 |
4.25 |
9.9 |
|
 |
1.28 |
5.73 |
8.18 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.3 ↓ (1.43) |
4.52 ↓ (4.6) |
9.63 ↑ (5.73) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Figueirense 70.3% | Draw 20.2% | Nação 9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Figueirense's performance.Nação has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nação might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nação than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nação could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Figueirense - Nação Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 68', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Figueirense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).Nação has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Nação may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Figueirense is the obvious favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Figueirense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 4:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
|
| 2 | Figueirense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 9 | Nacao | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 2 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;