The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metropolitanos 58.7%
Draw 24.5%
Trujillanos 16.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.3%
28.3%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.4%
27.1%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metropolitanos's performance.
Trujillanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trujillanos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metropolitanos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Metropolitanos - Trujillanos Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Metropolitanos will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Trujillanos will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yustiz Y. (G) 3. Rivillo D. 4. Ferro A. 2. Manenti F. 19. Ramirez I. 8. Ayine G. 15. Zalzman D. 88. Figueroa R. 7. Miku (C) 11. Ramirez S. 9. Ortiz K.
12. Garcia O. (G) 6. Gonzalez J. 4. Gnemmi E. 15. Rodriguez D. 33. Gonzalez M. (C) 35. Nakache D. 10. Abreu E. 5. Abet A. 36. Carmona J. 18. Mendez J. 11. Mosquera L.
Substitutes
20. Acosta R. 99. Bianciotti A. 32. Camarillo C. 23. Diaz M. 21. Garces R. 22. Lara J. (G) 30. Navarro J. 10. Ramirez J. 16. Riasco J. 5. Sangiovani R. 17. Valderrey E. 18. Vargas J.
25. Andara Garcia J. E. 26. Araujo A. 45. Bracho G. (G) 8. Echeverria J. 14. Femia N. 24. Gil C. 22. Gonzalez K. 30. Granados J. 88. Granados M. 2. Morales B. 23. Paredes J. 77. Parra G.
Coaches
Stifano F.
Echeverria M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Miku ⚽, Ramirez I. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', 2 - 0, Ferro A. ⚽, Zalzman D. (A),
63', Zalzman D. ↓, Sangiovani R. ↑,
63', Ramirez S. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
64', Mendez J. ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
64', Carmona J. ↓, Echeverria J. ↑,
64', Nakache D. ↓, Araujo A. ↑,
69', Ortiz K. ↓, Acosta R. ↑,
69', Ayine G. ↓, Riasco J. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Paredes J. ⚽, Abreu E. (A),
71', Manenti F. 🟨,
76', Gonzalez M. ↓, Granados M. ↑,
77', Acosta R. ↓, Garces R. ↑,
78', Abreu E. 🟨,
79', Echeverria J. 🟨,
85', 3 - 1, Riasco J. ⚽, Garces R. (A),
85', Mosquera L. ↓, Gil C. ↑,
90', 4 - 1, Riasco J. ⚽, Figueroa R. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metropolitanos won 3.
Metropolitanos is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Trujillanos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Metropolitanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Metropolitanos is a strong favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Metropolitanos won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Metropolitanos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
Watch
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Yustiz Y. (G) 
Manenti F. 
Ayine G. 
Ortiz K. 
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