The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo La Guaira 39.8%
Draw 32.2%
Metropolitanos 28%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.2%
27.9%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
28.5%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Deportivo La Guaira - Metropolitanos Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Metropolitanos will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Varela C. (G) 33. Hernandez N. 27. Correa J. 13. Ibarra R. (C) 2. Rojas C. 39. Orihuela M. 6. Faya C. 8. Perdomo J. 23. Herrera J. 10. Castellanos J. 36. Londono F.
1. Yustiz Y. (G) 3. Rivillo D. 4. Ferro A. 2. Manenti F. 19. Ramirez I. 8. Ayine G. 15. Zalzman D. 88. Figueroa R. 7. Miku (C) 11. Ramirez S. 9. Ortiz K.
Substitutes
11. Gonzalez J. 15. Gonzalez M. 16. Martinez L. 7. Meza J. 51. Pomozy H. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 22. Sulbaran M. 9. Uribe A. 67. Vargas G. 28. Villero M. 30. Zeballos S.
20. Acosta R. 99. Bianciotti A. 32. Camarillo C. 6. Caricote Y. 23. Diaz M. 21. Garces R. 24. Jaimes A. 30. Navarro J. 16. Riasco J. 5. Sangiovani R. 17. Valderrey E. 25. Vazquez A. (G)
Coaches
Rodriguez M.
Stifano F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Hernandez N. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Miku (Penalty Awarded),
40', Ayine G. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Faya C. (A),
45', Miku 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Ibarra R. 🟨,
66', Miku ↓, Riasco J. ↑,
66', Zalzman D. ↓, Sangiovani R. ↑,
69', Herrera J. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
74', Ramirez S. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
77', Londono F. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
77', Faya C. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Orihuela M. ⚽,
86', Rivillo D. ↓, Bianciotti A. ↑,
89', Castellanos J. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
90+2', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
90+6', Martinez L. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 2, Riasco J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Deportivo La Guaira (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Metropolitanos is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Metropolitanos may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo La Guaira has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:20 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo La Guaira against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 15:8 goals (averaging 1.7:0.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo La Guaira - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Metropolitanos - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.85%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
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Varela C. (G) 
Orihuela M. 
Herrera J. 
Ayine G. 
Ortiz K. 
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