The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trujillanos 43.4%
Draw 28.8%
Monagas 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
29.8%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
29.8%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trujillanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trujillanos's performance.
Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monagas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trujillanos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monagas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
37.5%
0%
Trujillanos - Monagas Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Trujillanos will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Trujillanos: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Garcia O. (G) 88. Granados M. 4. Gnemmi E. 15. Rodriguez D. 30. Granados J. (C) 10. Abreu E. 22. Gonzalez K. 11. Mosquera L. 26. Araujo A. 23. Paredes J. 9. Gonzalez F.
33. Lima E. (C) 21. Rodas A. 29. Henry N. 3. Queiroz F. 70. Arace R. 20. Diaz H. 5. Colorado J. 6. Romero A. 8. Ramirez C. 9. Rodriguez R. 10. Gonzalez L.
Substitutes
36. Carmona J. 8. Echeverria J. 24. Gil C. 6. Gonzalez J. 33. Gonzalez M. 90. Linarez D. 1. Lopez V. (G) 18. Mendez J. 2. Morales B. 35. Nakache D. 77. Parra G. 50. Valiente J.
7. Basante F. 26. Castillo D. 30. De La Hoz K. 27. Farias E. 49. Mancilla J. 35. Natera S. 2. Rincones R. 1. Riveros T. (G) 19. Romero A. 11. Uruena B.
Coaches
Echeverria M.
Ortiz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Granados J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Diaz H. ↓, Basante F. ↑,
50', Paredes J. 🟨,
57', Queiroz F. ↓, Mancilla J. ↑,
57', Romero A. ↓,
60', 1 - 1, Rodriguez R. ⚽, Romero A. (A),
64', Abreu E. 🟨,
67', Gonzalez F. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
67', Abreu E. ↓, Echeverria J. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Mosquera L. ⚽, Echeverria J. (A),
74', 3 - 1, Paredes J. ⚽, Granados M. (A),
75', Ramirez C. ↓, Farias E. ↑,
76', Romero A. 🟨,
77', Granados M. ↓, Parra G. ↑,
77', Paredes J. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
79', Rodriguez R. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
81', Gonzalez K. ↓, Valiente J. ↑,
90', Parra G. 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 10)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trujillanos won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Trujillanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Trujillanos won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Trujillanos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
Watch
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Garcia O. (G) 
Gnemmi E. 
Rodas A. 
Queiroz F. 
Colorado J. 
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