Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Meuselwitz		Greifswald

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.35	2.48
	2.7	3.4	2.46
	2.56	3.28	2.41
	2.12	3.34	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.05)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	2.6 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meuselwitz
37%

Draw
27.6%

Greifswald
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

23.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meuselwitz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Meuselwitz's form might have worsened.

Greifswald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greifswald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meuselwitz than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greifswald than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Meuselwitz - Greifswald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Rehder F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Wagner T. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meuselwitz won 2.

In recent matches, Meuselwitz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Greifswald has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Meuselwitz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Meuselwitz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Meuselwitz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ZFC Meuselwitz
German Regionalliga Nordost
21.09.25	Meuselwitz - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:3 ✺
16.09.25	Altglienicke - Meuselwitz	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Meuselwitz - Hertha Zehlendorf	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Hertha Berlin II - Meuselwitz	2:3 ✺
31.08.25	Zwickau - Meuselwitz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWL
- Greifswalder FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
21.09.25	Greifswald - Luckenwalde	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Berliner FC Dynamo - Greifswald	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Magdeburg II - Greifswald	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Greifswald - Hallescher	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Babelsberg - Greifswald	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
12.03.25	Meuselwitz - Greifswald	2:1
24.08.24	Greifswald - Meuselwitz	3:0
19.05.24	Greifswald - Meuselwitz	4:1
10.12.23	Meuselwitz - Greifswald	1:2
28.05.23	Meuselwitz - Greifswald	4:0
22.02.23	Greifswald - Meuselwitz	3:2

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