Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 16

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Mexicali		Los Cabos United

	1	X	2
	6.5	4	1.42
	7.1	4.25	1.4
	6.69	4.09	1.45
	7	4	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.82 ↓ (7.87)	4.09 ↓ (4.82)	1.43 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexicali
13.4%

Draw
22.4%

Los Cabos United
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

19%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.9%

17.9%

73.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexicali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Los Cabos United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Cabos United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mexicali than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Cabos United than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Cabos United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Mexicali is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Los Cabos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mexicali could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Los Cabos is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mexicali won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mexicali won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexicali FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.11.23	Tuzos UAZ - Mexicali	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Mineros de Fresnillo - Mexicali	5:0 ✺
28.10.23	Mexicali - Leones Negros 2	1:3 ✺
21.10.23	Tritones Vallarta - Mexicali	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Mexicali - Colima	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLLW
- Los Cabos United
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.11.23	Los Cabos United - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Leones Negros 2 - Los Cabos United	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Colima - Los Cabos United	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Los Cabos United - Tecos FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.02.23	Los Cabos United - Mexicali	3:0
17.09.22	Mexicali - Los Cabos United	0:2

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