Match Info

Primera Premier - Round 4

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Futbol Don Koll (Cabo San Lucas)


	Los Cabos United		Tritones Vallarta

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.06	2.66
	2.40	3.26	2.74	Watch
	2.3	3	2.6
	2.29	3.26	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.14)	3.15 ↓ (3.45)	2.66 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Cabos United
38.1%

Draw
28.4%

Tritones Vallarta
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.1%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Cabos United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Tritones Vallarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 5th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Cabos won 3.

Los Cabos may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Los Cabos holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Los Cabos has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:8 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Los Cabos against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 7:2 goals (averaging 1.8:0.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Cabos United
Mexican Primera Premier
12.09.26	Lobos ULMX - Los Cabos United	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Irapuato - Los Cabos United	2:1 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
28.03.26	Tritones Vallarta - Los Cabos United	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Los Cabos United - Tuzos UAZ	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Los Cabos United - Mineros de Fresnillo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWW
- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Primera Premier
11.09.26	Tritones Vallarta - Zacatepec Siglo	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Tritones Vallarta - La Piedad	0:1 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.04.26	Deportiva Venados - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Tritones Vallarta - Deportiva Venados	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Tritones Vallarta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
28.03.26	Tritones Vallarta - Los Cabos United	2:0
15.11.25	Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta	4:1
28.10.24	Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta	2:1
30.03.24	Tritones Vallarta - Los Cabos United	3:2
28.10.23	Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta	1:0
18.02.23	Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta	0:0
28.09.22	Tritones Vallarta - Los Cabos United	1:1

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