Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday


	Mexicali		Tuzos UAZ

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.71
	4.4	3.93	1.65
	3.64	4.06	1.82
	4	3.6	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↓ (4.08)	3.82 ↑ (3.75)	1.73 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexicali
22.8%

Draw
24.1%

Tuzos UAZ
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.2%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

23.4%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexicali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tuzos UAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mexicali than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzos UAZ than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	0%	94.4%

Mexicali - Tuzos UAZ Predictions

Users Predictions: Tuzos UAZ will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Villa D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 1 - 2, Villa D. ⚽,
74', 1 - 3, Escobedo J. ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 9).

Mexicali has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches UAZ is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UAZ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mexicali have a series of guest games.

In this match UAZ is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's UAZ to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mexicali won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:10 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Mexicali won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexicali FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
23.03.25	Real Apodaca - Mexicali	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Mexicali - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:5 ✺
07.03.25	Tecos FC - Mexicali	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Mexicali	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Los Cabos United - Mexicali	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tuzos UAZ
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.03.25	Tecos FC - Tuzos UAZ	1:1 ✺
18.03.25	Tuzos UAZ - Alacranes de Durango	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Tuzos UAZ - Los Cabos United	4:3 ✺
15.02.25	Leones Negros 2 - Tuzos UAZ	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Tuzos UAZ - Agricultores de Guasave	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
19.10.24	Tuzos UAZ - Mexicali	4:0
13.04.24	Mexicali - Tuzos UAZ	2:1
08.11.23	Tuzos UAZ - Mexicali	2:0
07.01.23	Tuzos UAZ - Mexicali	3:0

Mexicali - Tuzos UAZ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide