Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Tuzos UAZ		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
	5.16	3.95	1.51
	5.42	4.05	1.5	Watch
	4.33	3.85	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (4.21)	3.95 ↑ (3.81)	1.55 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuzos UAZ
18.3%

Draw
23.1%

Alacranes de Durango
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

23.4%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

22.3%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuzos UAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzos UAZ than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Tuzos UAZ - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
50', 0 - 2, ⚽,
65', 0 - 3, ⚽,
72', 0 - 4, ⚽,
83', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UAZ won 1.

UAZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alacranes de Durango is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alacranes de Durango may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alacranes de Durango is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, UAZ won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, UAZ won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuzos UAZ
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
10.10.25	Tecos FC - Tuzos UAZ	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Tuzos UAZ - La Piedad	3:4 ✺
28.09.25	Guerreros de Autlán - Tuzos UAZ	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Tuzos UAZ - Colima	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tuzos UAZ	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWW
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.10.25	La Piedad - Alacranes de Durango	0:5 ✺
03.10.25	Alacranes de Durango - Colima	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Alacranes de Durango - Los Cabos United	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Tigres de Álica - Alacranes de Durango	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.03.25	Tuzos UAZ - Alacranes de Durango	2:0
07.12.24	Tuzos UAZ - Alacranes de Durango	1:3
04.12.24	Alacranes de Durango - Tuzos UAZ	1:1
16.10.24	Alacranes de Durango - Tuzos UAZ	3:2 penalties
20.01.24	Tuzos UAZ - Alacranes de Durango	1:1
18.08.23	Alacranes de Durango - Tuzos UAZ	0:0
01.04.22	Alacranes de Durango - Tuzos UAZ	1:1

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