Match Info

WORLD: WORLD CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 22 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Stadium 974 (Doha)

Referee: Beath C. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Czech-republic	Nova Action
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Magenta Sport
Malaysia	Astro
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	TV4
Switzerland	SRF


	Mexico		Poland

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.25
	2.4	3.1	3.2
	2.55	3	3.3
	2.42	3.05	3.35
	2.54	3.07	3.31
	2.5	3	3.1
	2.6	3.13	3.36	Watch
	2.55	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.7)	3.06 ↓ (3.09)	3.26 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

Watch this match and World Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX (4K), Telemundo

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Current Win Probability

Mexico
38.7%

Draw
31.6%

Poland
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

30.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	38.1%	30.7%

Mexico - Poland Predictions

Users Predictions: 202 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 63 - 31.2%). Poland will win (votes: 62 - 30.7%). It will Tie (votes: 77 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.4% – 44.8%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Mexico has a chance of 1st place (21%), has a chance of 2nd place (33%), has a good chance of round of 16 (54%), has a chance of quarter-finals (22%), has a small chance of semi-finals (10%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win world cup (1%).

Poland has a small chance of 1st place (13%), has a chance of 2nd place (25%), has a chance of round of 16 (38%), has a small chance of quarter-finals (13%), has a very small chance of semi-finals (5%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win world cup (<1%).

Mexico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mexico won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico
Friendly
16.11.22	Mexico - Sweden	1:2 ✺
09.11.22	Mexico - Iraq	4:0 ✺
27.09.22	Colombia - Mexico	3:2 ✺
24.09.22	Peru - Mexico	0:1 ✺
31.08.22	Mexico - Paraguay	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL
- Poland
Friendly
16.11.22	Poland - Chile	1:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League
25.09.22	Wales - Poland	0:1 ✺
22.09.22	Poland - Netherlands	0:2 ✺
14.06.22	Poland - Belgium	0:1 ✺
11.06.22	Netherlands - Poland	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
13.11.17	Poland - Mexico	0:1

Mexico - Poland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide