Poland - Netherlands: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • World Cup - Qualification
  • Date: 14 November 2025, Friday
  • Location: PGE Narodowy (Warsaw)
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaESPN
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    europeEuropeUEFA TV
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
    franceFranceL'Equipe, L'Equipe Live Foot
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, Vidio
    israelIsraelSport 2
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 1, NPO 3
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
    slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyExxen
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamTV 360
    worldWorldSport 24
    Poland Netherlands
    Poland Netherlands
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.84
    (5.44)
    3.65
    (4.17)
    1.78
    (1.59)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Poland
    19.8%
    Draw
    26.3%
    Netherlands
    53.9%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    17.5% 22.8% 59.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Netherlands might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    4.5% 11.4% 84.1%
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    Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.26) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • DC - Poland (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Poland (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Netherlands will win (37 of 44 users predict this - 84.09%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.28%94.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Netherlands will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Poland (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Netherlands (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    12. PolandGrabara K. (G) Wolfsburg
      2. PolandCash M. Aston Villa
      4. PolandKedziora T. PAOK
      5. PolandZiolkowski J. AS Roma
    14. PolandKiwior J. FC Porto
    19. PolandSkoras M. Gent
    20. PolandSzymanski S. Fenerbahce
    10. PolandZielinski P. Inter
    21. PolandZalewski N. Atalanta
    13. PolandKaminski J. 1. FC Koln
      9. PolandLewandowski R. (C) Barcelona
      1. NetherlandsVerbruggen B. (G) Brighton
      2. NetherlandsGeertruida L. Sunderland
      3. NetherlandsTimber J. Arsenal
      4. Netherlandsvan Dijk V. (C) Liverpool
    15. Netherlandsvan de Ven M. Tottenham
      8. NetherlandsGravenberch R. Liverpool
    19. NetherlandsKluivert J. Bournemouth
    21. Netherlandsde Jong F. Barcelona
    18. NetherlandsMalen D. Aston Villa
    10. NetherlandsDepay M. Corinthians
    11. NetherlandsGakpo C. Liverpool
    Substitutes
    18. PolandBereszynski B. Palermo
    16. PolandBuksa A. Udinese
    22. PolandDragowski B. (G) Panathinaikos
    11. PolandGrosicki K. Pogon Szczecin
      8. PolandKapustka B. Legia
      1. PolandKochalski M. (G) Qarabag Agdam
    17. PolandKozlowski K. Gaziantep
      6. PolandRozga F. Sturm Graz
      7. PolandSwiderski K. Panathinaikos
      3. PolandSzczesniak K. Gornik Zabrze
    15. PolandWszolek P. Legia
      5. NetherlandsAke N. Manchester City
      6. Netherlandsde Ligt M. Manchester United
      9. NetherlandsEmegha E. Strasbourg
    23. NetherlandsFlekken M. (G) Bayer Leverkusen
    17. NetherlandsLang N. Napoli
    14. NetherlandsReijnders T. Manchester City
    13. NetherlandsRoefs R. (G) Sunderland
    16. NetherlandsSchouten J. PSV
      7. NetherlandsSimons X. Tottenham
    20. NetherlandsTimber Q. Feyenoord
    22. NetherlandsValente L. Feyenoord
    12. Netherlandsvan Hecke J. P. Brighton
    Coaches
         PolandUrban J.
         NetherlandsKoeman R.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 13', Szymanski S. , Kapustka B. ,
    • 17', Zielinski P. 🟨,
    • 43', 1 - 0, Kaminski J. , Lewandowski R. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 47', 1 - 1, Depay M. ,
    • 67', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
    • 74', Geertruida L. , van Hecke J. P. ,
    • 74', Kluivert J. , Reijnders T. ,
    • 81', Cash M. , Wszolek P. ,
    • 82', Zalewski N. , Grosicki K. ,
    • 89', Depay M. , Emegha E. ,
    • 89', Gravenberch R. , Schouten J. ,
    • 90+2', Lewandowski R. , Buksa A. ,
    • 90+2', Kaminski J. , Rozga F. ,
    • 90+6', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poland won 0.
  • In this match, Netherlands is the team to beat.
  • There will not play in Poland: Bednarek J. (Knee Injury) Moder J. (Back Injury) Piatek K. (Muscle Injury) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury) Urbanski K. (Tendon Injury)
  • There will not play in Netherlands: Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Hartman Q. (Illness) Koopmeiners T. (Inactive) de Vrij S. (Inactive)
  • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Poland won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.9:1.7).
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    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Poland
    FIFA World Cup
    12.10.25 Lithuania - Poland 0:2
    Friendly
    09.10.25 Poland - New Zealand 1:0
    FIFA World Cup
    07.09.25 Poland - Finland 3:1
    04.09.25 Netherlands - Poland 1:1
    10.06.25 Finland - Poland 2:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6
    WWWTL
    - Netherlands
    FIFA World Cup
    12.10.25 Netherlands - Finland 4:0
    09.10.25 Malta - Netherlands 0:4
    07.09.25 Lithuania - Netherlands 2:3
    04.09.25 Netherlands - Poland 1:1
    10.06.25 Netherlands - Malta 8:0
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2
    WWWTW
    Latest Head to Head
    FIFA World Cup
    04.09.25 Netherlands - Poland 1:1
    UEFA Euro
    16.06.24 Poland - Netherlands 1:2
    UEFA Nations League
    22.09.22 Poland - Netherlands 0:2
    11.06.22 Netherlands - Poland 2:2
    18.11.20 Poland - Netherlands 1:2
    04.09.20 Netherlands - Poland 1:0
    Friendly
    01.06.16 Poland - Netherlands 1:2