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Netherlands vs Poland Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, September 04, 2025)

Match Info

World Championship - Qualification

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday

Location: De Kuip (Rotterdam)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	Canal+, NPO 3
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Netherlands		Poland

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	9.5
	1.26	6	11.5
	1.29	5.4	10.5	Watch
	1.29	6.1	11.06
	1.28	5.63	9.79	Watch
	1.25	5	11
	1.35	5.54	10.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.28)	5.6 ↑ (5.4)	10.55 ↓ (11.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Netherlands
73.9%

Draw
17%

Poland
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.4%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.1%	3.6%	7.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 49 - 90.7%). Poland will win (votes: 3 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Netherlands: 83% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Netherlands (2.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Poland (3.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Netherlands will win (18 of 24 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Netherlands (votes: 26 - 76.5%). Poland (votes: 2 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) Brighton 22. Dumfries D. Inter 2. van Hecke J. P. Brighton 4. van Dijk V. (C) Liverpool 16. van de Ven M. Tottenham 8. Gravenberch R. Liverpool 14. Reijnders T. Manchester City 21. de Jong F. Barcelona 7. Simons X. Tottenham 10. Depay M. Corinthians 11. Gakpo C. Liverpool	1. Skorupski L. (G) Bologna 2. Cash M. Aston Villa 3. Wisniewski P. Spezia 5. Bednarek J. FC Porto 14. Kiwior J. FC Porto 17. Slisz B. Atlanta United 10. Zielinski P. Inter 13. Kaminski J. 1. FC Koln 20. Szymanski S. Fenerbahce 21. Zalewski N. Atalanta 9. Lewandowski R. (C) Barcelona
Substitutes
5. Ake N. Manchester City 15. de Ligt M. Manchester United 6. de Vrij S. Inter 23. Flekken M. (G) Bayer Leverkusen 19. Kluivert J. Bournemouth 17. Lang N. Napoli 18. Malen D. Aston Villa 13. Roefs R. (G) Sunderland 20. Schouten J. PSV 3. Timber J. Arsenal 12. Timber Q. Feyenoord 9. Weghorst W. Ajax	15. Buksa A. Udinese 22. Dragowski B. (G) Panathinaikos 19. Frankowski P. Rennes 12. Grabara K. (G) Wolfsburg 11. Grosicki K. Pogon Szczecin 8. Kapustka B. Legia 4. Kedziora T. PAOK 6. Piotrowski J. Udinese 23. Pyrka A. St. Pauli 7. Swiderski K. Panathinaikos 16. Wszolek P. Legia 18. Ziolkowski J. AS Roma
Coaches
Koeman R.	Urban J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Dumfries D. ⚽, Depay M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Lewandowski R. ↓, Swiderski K. ↑,
71', Szymanski S. ↓, Grosicki K. ↑,
71', Zalewski N. ↓, Wszolek P. ↑,
71', Zielinski P. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
78', Depay M. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
78', Simons X. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Cash M. ⚽,
83', Wisniewski P. ↓, Kedziora T. ↑,
83', de Jong F. ↓, Timber Q. ↑,
83', Reijnders T. ↓, Kluivert J. ↑,
87', van Hecke J. P. ↓, de Vrij S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 4.

In this match, Netherlands is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Netherlands: Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Poland: Moder J. (Knock) Swierczok J. (Knee Injury) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Netherlands
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Netherlands - Malta	8:0 ✺
07.06.25	Finland - Netherlands	0:2 ✺
UEFA Nations League
23.03.25	Spain - Netherlands	4:3 penalties ✺
20.03.25	Netherlands - Spain	2:2 ✺
19.11.24	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Netherlands	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLTT
- Poland
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Finland - Poland	2:1 ✺
Friendly
06.06.25	Poland - Moldova	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	Poland - Malta	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Poland - Lithuania	1:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Poland - Scotland	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
16.06.24	Poland - Netherlands	1:2
UEFA Nations League
22.09.22	Poland - Netherlands	0:2
11.06.22	Netherlands - Poland	2:2
18.11.20	Poland - Netherlands	1:2
04.09.20	Netherlands - Poland	1:0
Friendly
01.06.16	Poland - Netherlands	1:2

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