The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mezzolara 52.8%
Draw 26.2%
Progresso 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.3%
26.6%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.4%
21%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mezzolara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mezzolara than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mezzolara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Mezzolara - Progresso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Progresso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Mezzolara is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mezzolara won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Mezzolara won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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