Match Info

Date: 22 December 2021, Wednesday


	Real Forte Querceta		Progresso

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.82	3.1	4
	1.87	3.2	3.5
	1.82	3.02	3.88
	1.83	3.2	3.7
	1.85	3.42	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.75)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)	3.85 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Forte Querceta
49%

Draw
27.8%

Progresso
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

16.9%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Forte Querceta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Progresso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Forte Querceta than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Forte Querceta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Progresso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Forte Querceta - Progresso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Real Forte Querceta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Progresso is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Real Forte Querceta is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Forte Querceta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Forte Querceta
Italian Serie D - Group D
18.12.21	Tritium - Real Forte Querceta	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Real Forte Querceta - Prato	2:2 ✺
08.12.21	Forlì - Real Forte Querceta	0:2 ✺
05.12.21	Real Forte Querceta - Sasso Marconi	1:2 ✺
28.11.21	Bagnolese - Real Forte Querceta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWLL
- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
18.12.21	Progresso - Ravenna	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Progresso - Tritium	0:0 ✺
08.12.21	Sammaurese - Progresso	2:1 ✺
04.12.21	Progresso - Prato	3:1 ✺
28.11.21	Forlì - Progresso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
14.02.21	Progresso - Real Forte Querceta	1:1

Real Forte Querceta - Progresso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide