Match Info
Serie D - Group D - Round 31Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday
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Progresso |
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Correggese |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.2 |
2.98 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.17 |
2.95 |
3.21 |
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2.2 |
3.1 |
3.16 |
 Watch |
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2.2 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
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2.34 |
3.43 |
2.86 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.14) |
3.05 ↓
(3.18) |
3.09 ↓
(3.22) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Progresso
40.8% | Draw
29.7% | Correggese
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Correggese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correggese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)Progresso - Correggese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Mezzadri Majani P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 83', 1 - 1, Ferraresi S. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progresso won 1.Progresso is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Correggese is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Progresso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win. We predict that Correggese will win today's game, with odds of 2.91.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Progresso won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).Including home matches between the teams, Progresso won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Correggese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group D | | | 30.11.25 | Correggese - Progresso | 0:2 | | 29.01.22 | Progresso - Correggese | 1:1 | | 19.09.21 | Correggese - Progresso | 1:1 | | 23.05.21 | Correggese - Progresso | 1:0 | | 24.01.21 | Progresso - Correggese | 1:1 | | 18.12.19 | Progresso - Correggese | 2:2 |
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