Match Info

HUNGARY: OTP BANK LIGA - ROUND 26

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Városi Stadion (Mezőkövesdi)

Referee: Csonka B. (Hun)


	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	9.5	4.75	1.25
	10	5.25	1.25
	11	5.5	1.25	Watch
	9.13	5.46	1.3
	9.13	5.46	1.31
	11	5.5	1.22
	9.8	5.45	1.26	Watch
	10	5.4	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.95 ↑ (7.31)	5.35 ↑ (4.63)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mezőkövesd-Zsóry
9.3%

Draw
17.3%

Ferencvárosi
73.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

19.8%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

19.3%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mezőkövesd-Zsóry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferencvárosi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mezőkövesd-Zsóry than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Mezőkövesd Zsóry - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferencvárosi will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Piscitelli R. (G) 72. Kallai K. 4. Lukic A. 3. Beriashvili I. 77. Vajda S. 94. Cseke B. 15. Brtan M. 88. Szolgai M. 16. Molnar G. 9. Drazic S. 19. Samperio J.	1. Varga A. (G) 25. Makreckis C. 27. Cisse I. 22. Abena M. 17. Civic E. 80. Maiga H. 33. Loncar S. 16. Zachariassen K. 55. Katona B. 10. Marquinhos 11. Kodro K.
Substitutes
8. Babunski D. 24. Cseri T. 99. Juhasz I. (G) 14. Karnitskiy A. 13. Kocs-Washburn E. 29. Kojnok Z. 74. Kovacsik A. (G) 17. Pillar R. 11. Szalai J. 33. Szilagyi S. 2. Szivacski D.	44. Aaneba I. 7. Ben Romdhane M. A. 21. Botka E. 90. Dibusz D. (G) 76. Lisztes K. 23. Paszka L. 99. Ramirez C. 77. Sevikyan E. 24. Toth A. 20. Traore A. 19. Varga B. 31. Wingo H.
Coaches
Milanovic M.	Stankovic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Molnar G. 🟨,
32', Beriashvili I. 🟨,
35', Maiga H. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Loncar S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Katona B. ↓, Ben Romdhane M. A. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Loncar S. ⚽, Marquinhos (A),
58', Szolgai M. ↓, Kocs-Washburn E. ↑,
60', Vajda S. ↓, Pillar R. ↑,
65', Maiga H. ↓, Paszka L. ↑,
65', Kodro K. ↓, Varga B. ↑,
69', Samperio J. ↓, Karnitskiy A. ↑,
69', Molnar G. ↓, Cseri T. ↑,
78', Loncar S. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
78', Marquinhos ↓, Sevikyan E. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Varga B. ⚽,
88', Drazic S. ↓, Szalai J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mezőkövesd-Zsóry won 1.

Mezőkövesd-Zsóry is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferencvárosi is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mezőkövesd-Zsóry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferencvárosi is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Mezőkövesd-Zsóry won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 16-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Mezőkövesd-Zsóry won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mezőkövesd-Zsóry
Hungarian NB I
16.03.24	Ujpest - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Diósgyőri	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Debreceni - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	0:1 ✺
23.02.24	MTK Budapest - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	3:1 ✺
17.02.24	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Kisvárda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLWLL
- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
17.03.24	Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Videoton - Ferencvárosi	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Ferencvárosi - Kecskemeti	2:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
28.02.24	Debreceni - Ferencvárosi	1:2 penalties ✺
Hungarian NB I
25.02.24	Ujpest - Ferencvárosi	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
06.12.23	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Ferencvárosi	0:2
03.12.23	Ferencvárosi - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	0:0
28.05.23	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Ferencvárosi	1:0
03.03.23	Ferencvárosi - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	1:1
Club Friendly
21.12.22	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Ferencvárosi	0:0
Hungarian NB I
16.10.22	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Ferencvárosi	2:1
18.03.22	Ferencvárosi - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	1:0

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