Match Info

Date: 7 November 2020, Saturday


	Middelfart		Holbæk

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4.33
	1.65	3.7	4.33
	1.68	3.65	4.1
	1.65	3.8	4.2
	1.68	3.94	4.3
	1.67	3.98	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.66)	3.81 ↑ (3.71)	4.25 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middelfart
54.7%

Draw
23.9%

Holbæk
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24.3%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

16.8%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middelfart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Holbæk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middelfart than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Middelfart that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holbæk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Middelfart - Holbæk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Middelfart is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Holbæk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Holbæk have a series of home games.

In this match Middelfart is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Middelfart won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Middelfart won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middelfart G&BK
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
01.11.20	Thisted - Middelfart	2:0 ✺
24.10.20	Middelfart - Holstebro	2:1 ✺
17.10.20	Dalum IF - Middelfart	4:3 ✺
10.10.20	Middelfart - B.93 Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
06.10.20	Jammerbugt - Middelfart	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Holbæk B&I
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
31.10.20	Holbæk - Holstebro	3:0 ✺
24.10.20	Jammerbugt - Holbæk	4:0 ✺
17.10.20	Holbæk - Sydvest	2:3 ✺
11.10.20	Holbæk - Aarhus Fremad	3:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
07.10.20	Holbæk - Fremad Amager	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division - Relegation Group
13.05.17	Middelfart - Holbæk	3:0
19.03.17	Holbæk - Middelfart	4:1

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