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Current Win Probability
Middlesbrough U21 49.4%
Draw 21.8%
Norwich City U21 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
20.9%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
20.6%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Middlesbrough U21's performance.
Norwich City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Norwich City U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough U21 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City U21 than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norwich City U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Middlesbrough U21 - Norwich City U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dieng S. (G) 4. Samuels O. 5. Baptiste A. (C) 3. Acheampong P. 2. Coulson F. 8. Cartwright F. 6. Martin O. 11. Hamilton M. 7. Greenup I. 10. Finch S. 9. Campbell L.
13. Mitchell R. (G) 2. Okwumo H. 4. Adegboyega E. 5. Gee B. 3. Ozcan V. 6. Towler L. 8. Domeracki A. 7. Ameen B. 10. Baumann Z. 11. Welch F. (C) 9. Sealey L.
Substitutes
12. Hamelberg E. 14. Harrison L. 15. Ibeh C. 21. Lloyd O. (G) 16. Smith T.
1. Ansen C. (G) 12. Bracking M. 14. Chilvers T. 15. Djedje U. 16. Forbes B.
Coaches
Tinkler M.
Neilson A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Adegboyega E. ⚽, Domeracki A. (A),
15', Cartwright F. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Campbell L. ⚽, Greenup I. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Campbell L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Sealey L. 🟨,
54', Towler L. ↓, Djedje U. ↑,
55', Baumann Z. ↓, Forbes B. ↑,
61', Cartwright F. ↓, Hamelberg E. ↑,
65', Campbell L. ↓, Ibeh C. ↑,
70', Okwumo H. ↓, Bracking M. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Gee B. ⚽,
74', Djedje U. 🟨,
81', Hamilton M. ↓, Harrison L. ↑,
85', Domeracki A. 🟨,
89', Domeracki A. ↓, Chilvers T. ↑,
89', Greenup I. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 25 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough U21 won 2.
Middlesbrough U21 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Norwich U21 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Middlesbrough U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Norwich U21 has had a series of away games.
Middlesbrough U21 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough U21 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 2.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).