The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County U21 44.4%
Draw 22.4%
Norwich City U21 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48%
21.4%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
21%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Norwich City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City U21 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Derby County U21 - Norwich City U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kane S. (G) 2. Turley F. 5. Nelson C. 6. Osayande A. (C) 3. Gough B. 8. Allen C. 4. Tola M. 7. Wilson C. 10. Eames O. 11. Osong J. 9. Wheeldon L.
1. Lines L. (G) 2. Adegboyega E. 4. Adelusi T. 5. Gee B. 3. Ozcan V. 8. Domeracki A. 6. Towler L. 7. Ameen B. 10. Baumann Z. 11. Welch F. 9. Aboh K. (C)
Substitutes
15. Canoville R. 13. Dzialuk C. (G) 12. Gill T. 16. Green I. 14. Wahling J.
16. Bracking M. 12. Bridge A. 15. Chilvers T. 14. Djedje U. 13. Mitchell R. (G)
Coaches
Maye D.
Neilson A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Tola M. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Eames O. (Own goal),
25', Gough B. 🟨,
43', Eames O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Gough B. ↓, Gill T. ↑,
61', Nelson C. ↓, Canoville R. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Aboh K. ⚽, Towler L. (A),
68', Osong J. ↓, Wahling J. ↑,
68', Wheeldon L. ↓, Green I. ↑,
74', Baumann Z. ↓, Chilvers T. ↑,
76', Turley F. 🟨,
81', Domeracki A. ↓, Djedje U. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Welch F. ⚽, Aboh K. (A),
90', Welch F. ↓, Bracking M. ↑,
90+1', Ameen B. ↓, Bridge A. ↑,
90+2', Wahling J. 🟨,
Preview
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Norwich U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Derby U21 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Derby U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.