Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday

Location: MCH Arena (Herning)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+, VIX App


	Midtjylland		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.7	1.91
	3.9	3.5	1.93
	3.75	3.6	2
	4.08	3.59	1.97
	4.09	3.59	1.9
	3.9	3.5	1.95
	4.12	3.64	2.01
	3.8	3.65	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.24)	3.6 ↓ (3.69)	1.96 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
24.4%

Draw
26.7%

Fenerbahçe
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

25.9%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Midtjylland's form might have worsened.

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	25.9%	56.9%

Midtjylland - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 9 - 15.8%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 33 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 45.1% – 70.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lossl J. (G) 13. Gabriel A. 4. Diao O. 22. Bech Sorensen M. (C) 29. Paulinho 21. Castillo D. 6. Andersson J. 24. Sorensen O. 11. Osorio D. 18. Buksa A. 58. Simsir A.	1. Egribayat I. (G) 5. Yuksek I. 6. Djiku A. 4. Soyuncu C. 95. Akcicek Y. 53. Szymanski S. 8. Yandas M. 13. Fred 19. En Nesyri Y. 9. Dzeko E. (C) 10. Tadic D.
Substitutes
17. Askildsen K. 55. Bak V. 19. Bravo P. 20. Byskov V. 30. Ejeheri O. (G) 7. Franculino 41. Gogorza M. 73. Juninho 3. Lee Han-Beom 31. Selin L. (G) 15. Sorensen C.	57. Biterge E. (G) 54. Cetin E. (G) 42. Dursun M. 44. Ekiz Y. E. 17. Kahveci I. C. 81. Tograk S. 23. Tosun C. 20. Under C.
Coaches
Thomasberg T.	Foti S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Diao O. ⚽, Simsir A. (A),
39', 1 - 1, En Nesyri Y. ⚽, Dzeko E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Dzeko E. ⚽, Szymanski S. (A),
68', Castillo D. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
71', Paulinho ↓, Bak V. ↑,
71', Simsir A. ↓, Gogorza M. ↑,
76', Soyuncu C. 🟨,
77', Foti S. 🟨,
79', Yandas M. ↓, Kahveci I. C. ↑,
84', Gabriel A. ↓, Bravo P. ↑,
84', Osorio D. ↓, Franculino ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Byskov V. ⚽,
88', Djiku A. 🟨,
90+3', Fred 🟨,
90+4', Tadic D. ↓, Under C. ↑,
90+4', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,

Preview

Fenerbahçe is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Midtjylland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fenerbahçe will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Midtjylland: Brynhildsen O. (Foot Injury) Cho Gue-Sung (Knee Injury) Franculino (Injury) Olafsson E. R. (Arm Injury) Olsson K. (Health problems)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Amrabat S. (Yellow Cards) Aydin O. (Inactive) Aziz S. (Inactive) Diego Carlos (Inactive) Elmaz B. (Inactive) Kostic F. (Inactive) Livakovic D. (Thigh Injury) Mercan L. (Inactive) Muldur M. (Shoulder Injury) Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury) Osayi-Samuel B. (Yellow Cards) Rodrigo Becao (Knee Injury) Talisca A. (Inactive) Yuksek I. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Midtjylland
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Midtjylland	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.25	Midtjylland - Red Bull Salzburg	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Porto - Midtjylland	2:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
01.12.24	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Midtjylland	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Midtjylland - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWL
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
26.01.25	Fenerbahçe - Göztepe	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Fenerbahçe - Lyon	0:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.01.25	Adana Demirspor - Fenerbahçe	0:4 ✺
13.01.25	Konyaspor - Fenerbahçe	2:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
09.01.25	Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWWW

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