Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: MCH Arena (Herning)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
Laos	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Fox Sports 2
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Midtjylland		Slovan Bratislava

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6
	1.53	4.33	5.75
	1.5	4.4	5.8
	1.56	4.4	6
	1.55	4.34	5.69	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.63	4.33	5.35
	1.5	4.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.7)	4.29 ↑ (3.4)	5.74 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
61.5%

Draw
22%

Slovan Bratislava
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

25.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Midtjylland's performance.

Slovan Bratislava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Midtjylland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.1%	8.4%	7.5%

Midtjylland - Slovan Bratislava Predictions

Users Predictions: Midtjylland will win (87 of 100 users predict this - 87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.41% – 93.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Olafsson E. R. (G) 6. Andersson J. 4. Diao O. 22. Bech Sorensen M. (C) 73. Juninho 11. Osorio D. 24. Sorensen O. 5. Martinez E. 58. Simsir A. 7. Franculino 18. Buksa A.	71. Takac D. (G) 28. Blackman C. 4. Kashia G. 6. Wimmer K. 23. Zuberu S. 12. Bajric K. 33. Kucka J. 11. Barseghyan T. 10. Tolic M. 7. Weiss V. jr. (C) 13. Strelec D.
Substitutes
17. Askildsen K. 19. Bravo P. 9. Brynhildsen O. 21. Castillo D. 14. Chilufya E. 30. Ejeheri O. (G) 13. Gabriel A. 41. Gogorza M. 45. Kamara A. 3. Lee Han-Beom 1. Lossl J. (G) 2. Romer A.	35. Hrdina A. (G) 8. Isaac E. 21. Mak R. 18. Marcelli N. 17. Medvedev J. 93. Metsoko I. 20. Mustafic A. 88. Savvidis K. 37. Szoke J. 31. Trnovsky M. (G) 2. Voet S. 27. Vojtko M.
Coaches
Thomasberg T.	Weiss V. sr.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Zuberu S. ↓, Szoke J. ↑,
30', Osorio D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Osorio D. ↓, Brynhildsen O. ↑,
52', Szoke J. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Blackman C. ⚽, Barseghyan T. (A),
64', Juninho ↓, Gabriel A. ↑,
72', Weiss V. jr. ↓, Mak R. ↑,
75', Buksa A. ↓, Chilufya E. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Chilufya E. ⚽, Sorensen O. (A),
81', Barseghyan T. ↓, Marcelli N. ↑,
81', Tolic M. ↓, Savvidis K. ↑,
81', Strelec D. ↓, Metsoko I. ↑,
84', Simsir A. ↓, Gogorza M. ↑,
84', Franculino ↓, Askildsen K. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Recently Slovan Bratislava have a series of home games.

In this match Midtjylland is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Midtjylland to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
16.08.24	Lyngby BK - Midtjylland	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	Ferencvárosi - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
09.08.24	Midtjylland - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.08.24	Midtjylland - Ferencvárosi	2:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
03.08.24	Midtjylland - Aalborg BK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWWW
- Slovan Bratislava
Slovak Superliga
17.08.24	Slovan Bratislava - MFK Košice	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	APOEL - Slovan Bratislava	0:0 ✺
07.08.24	Slovan Bratislava - APOEL	2:0 ✺
Slovak Superliga
03.08.24	Slovan Bratislava - Podbrezová	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.07.24	Slovan Bratislava - Celje	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWWW

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