Match Info

Division 1 - Round 3

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Pazdecki P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Miedź Legnica		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4	Watch
	1.90	3.50	3.50
	1.75	3.75	4.15
	1.76	4.09	4.36
	1.92	3.81	3.58	Watch
	1.71	4	4.2
	1.78	3.76	4.17
	1.71	3.55	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.91)	3.76 ↓ (3.81)	3.99 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
52.1%

Draw
24.7%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

24.3%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sydorenko D. (G) 30. Jovicic M. 3. Grudzinski M. (C) 78. Mazur M. 49. Szymoniak O. 70. Hajda W. 10. Letniowski J. 7. Bochnak M. 18. Cordoba A. 98. Antonik K. 21. Stanclik D.	1. Kaminski K. (G) 2. Glogowski K. 3. Dembek B. 17. Niewiadomski J. 7. Jedrasik J. 4. Korczakowski I. 21. Los K. 23. Ciepiela B. 15. Niski N. 10. Jaron D. 9. Majewski R.
Substitutes
9. Fucak K. 17. Maliszewski I. 95. Mansfeld M. 77. Narozny K. (G) 99. Noiszewski K. 11. Norlin G. 80. Petrovic Z. 8. Serafin J. 23. Zur F.	25. Glacel M. (G) 8. Gulczynski G. 11. Kargulewicz K. 99. Koprowski O. 6. Krupa J. 68. Miazgowski J. 20. Oshafi A. 19. Turski H. 42. Zbrog J.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Kafarski T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Majewski R. ⚽, Jedrasik J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Stanclik D. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
60', Bochnak M. ↓, Norlin G. ↑,
60', Letniowski J. ↓, Fucak K. ↑,
69', Hajda W. ↓, Petrovic Z. ↑,
73', Szymoniak O. ↓, Maliszewski I. ↑,
75', Niski N. 🟨,
75', Jaron D. ↓, Oshafi A. ↑,
75', Korczakowski I. ↓, Turski H. ↑,
84', Majewski R. ↓, Kargulewicz K. ↑,
84', Niski N. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
90', Ciepiela B. ↓, Gulczynski G. ↑,
90+2', Fucak K. 🟥,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Miedź could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Miedź won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Legnica: 4.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Legnica	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Miedź Legnica - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.36%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
02.08.26	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Miedź Legnica - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Miedź Legnica - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Piast Gliwice - Miedź Legnica	2:2 ✺
01.07.26	GKS Katowice - Miedź Legnica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWTL
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
02.08.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
07.02.26	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1
02.08.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Miedź Legnica	4:0

Upcoming Matches