Match Info

Division 1 - Round 2

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Referee: Kuropatwa M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Puszcza Niepołomice

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.25	2.80
	2.30	3.30	2.80
	2.20	3.25	2.80
	2.35	3.52	2.97
	2.23	3.46	3.07	Watch
	2.30	3.45	2.90
	2.30	3.40	2.93
	2.22	3.25	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.69)	3.36 ↑ (3.12)	2.88 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
40.7%

Draw
27.4%

Puszcza Niepołomice
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

29.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

29.1%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's performance.

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaminski K. (G) 2. Glogowski K. 3. Dembek B. 17. Niewiadomski J. 7. Jedrasik J. 4. Korczakowski I. 21. Los K. 23. Ciepiela B. 15. Niski N. 10. Jaron D. 9. Majewski R.	1. Andrzejczak F. (G) 23. Przybylko K. 2. Kasolik K. 34. Piekarski A. 6. Kocar O. 5. Stepien K. 8. Nascimento F. (C) 13. Szabaciuk F. 53. Trubeha A. 10. Cholewiak M. 63. Barkovskiy G.
Substitutes
. Glacel M. (G) . Gulczynski G. . Kargulewicz K. . Koprowski O. . Krupa J. . Miazgowski J. . Oshafi A. . Turski H. . Zbrog J.	21. Gerstenstein O. 17. Iwao K. 7. Klimek A. 11. Korczakowski O. 97. Kowal W. (G) 28. Pieprzyca I. 25. Sajdak P. 64. Wolowiec K.
Coaches
Kafarski T.	Tulacz T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Dembek B. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Niski N. ⚽, Jaron D. (A),
28', Kasolik K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Stepien K. 🟨,
65', Niski N. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
65', Jaron D. ↓, Oshafi A. ↑,
65', Kocar O. ↓, Sajdak P. ↑,
78', Nascimento F. 🟨,
78', Piekarski A. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
79', Cholewiak M. ↓, Iwao K. ↑,
83', Los K. 🟨,
83', Nascimento F. ↓, Pieprzyca I. ↑,
88', Majewski R. ↓, Turski H. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Grodzisk Mazowiecki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Puszcza: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Puszcza	8	2	0	6	8:12	-4	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
25.07.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2 ✺
07.07.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Trenčín	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLTT
- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
26.07.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Polonia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - JKS Jarosław	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Widzew Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 AET ✺
11.07.26	Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:4 ✺
08.07.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Termalica Nieciecza	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
06.12.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1
26.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1

Upcoming Matches