Match Info

Super League - Round 27

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Migori Youth		Nairobi United

	1	X	2
	3.79	2.95	1.99
				Watch
	3.9	3.08	1.93
	3.59	2.7	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.59)	2.91 ↑ (2.7)	2.04 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Migori Youth
24.2%

Draw
31.2%

Nairobi United
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

33.5%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

32.4%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Migori Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Nairobi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Migori Youth than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Migori Youth - Nairobi United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Recent matches Migori Youth is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nairobi United is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nairobi United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Nairobi United have a series of home games.

Nairobi United will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Migori Youth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Migori Youth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Migori Youth FC
Kenyan Super League
06.04.25	Migori Youth - Darajani Gogo	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Kisumu All-Stars - Migori Youth	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Vihiga United - Migori Youth	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Migori Youth - MOFA	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Mombasa Stars - Migori Youth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTW
- Nairobi United
Kenyan Super League
19.04.25	Nairobi United - MCF	0:0 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
12.04.25	Nairobi United - Kenya CB	1:0 penalties ✺
Kenyan Super League
06.04.25	Nairobi United - Mombasa Stars	6:2 ✺
30.03.25	Nzoia United - Nairobi United	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Nairobi United - Darajani Gogo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
02.02.25	Nairobi United - Migori Youth	2:1
22.06.24	Nairobi United - Migori Youth	1:0
21.10.23	Migori Youth - Nairobi United	1:1

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