Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Miguelturreño		Villarrubia

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.25	1.68
	4.35	3.2	1.63
	4.6	3.3	1.65
	4.54	3.14	1.63
	4.85	3.6	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (4.54)	3.3 ↑ (3.14)	1.65 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguelturreño
19.2%

Draw
26.9%

Villarrubia
53.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.1%

27.6%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

21.8%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguelturreño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Villarrubia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguelturreño than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarrubia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Miguelturreño - Villarrubia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Miguelturreño has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villarrubia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Miguelturreño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Villarrubia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Miguelturreño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
07.11.21	Illescas - Miguelturreño	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Miguelturreño - Villacañas	1:2 ✺
24.10.21	Manchego - Miguelturreño	2:0 ✺
17.10.21	Miguelturreño - Conquense	0:4 ✺
10.10.21	Almansa - Miguelturreño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLLT
- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
06.11.21	Villarrubia - CD Guadalajara	0:1 ✺
31.10.21	Quintanar del Rey - Villarrubia	2:0 ✺
23.10.21	Illescas - Villarrubia	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Villarrubia - Villacañas	3:1 ✺
10.10.21	Manchego - Villarrubia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTWL

Miguelturreño - Villarrubia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Miguelturreño - Villarrubia Predictions

Preview

Form

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