Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mikkelin Urheilupuisto (Mikkeli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mikkelin Palloilijat		KaPa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.40	3.00
	1.98	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.21	3.72	3.11
	2.02	3.65	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.65	3.05
	1.99	3.50	3.22	Watch
	2.06	3.35	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.27)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	3.12 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Palloilijat
44.5%

Draw
26.1%

KaPa
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

26.6%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

26.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

KaPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mikkelin Palloilijat - KaPa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mikkelin Palloilijat will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mikkelin Palloilijat (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wilson S. (G) 6. Afshari T. 7. Chishima A. 19. Janhunen V. 24. Kawale R. 8. Koivuniemi M. 4. Laiho V. (C) 16. Obioha S. 28. Tervaniemi A. 97. Traore A. 10. Ylonen E.	1. Collin T. (G) 9. Almen A. 4. Hietalahti P. 8. Huhtamaki R. 2. Huhtamaki U. 17. Jokiranta V. 25. Kuningas M. (C) 28. Lappalainen E. 10. Lika Y. 3. Puputti S. 21. Rokman D.
Substitutes
45. Atakayi S. 30. Heikkinen T. (G) 87. Kastrati M. 12. Kimari O. 42. Ring A. 17. Seppanen S. 15. Stenius S.	14. Ahola E. 36. Cukici D. 24. Lahteenmaki P. 35. Lauri D. (G) 15. Pastinen A. 22. Ripatti D. 39. Savini S. 23. Shinyella S.
Coaches
Ozeias Graciano	Lummepuro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Kuningas M. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Tervaniemi A. ⚽, Kawale R. (A),
25', Laiho V. ↓, Ring A. ↑,
29', Puputti S. 🟨,
32', Huhtamaki R. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Obioha S. ⚽, Janhunen V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jokiranta V. ↓, Ripatti D. ↑,
60', Tervaniemi A. ↓, Atakayi S. ↑,
60', Koivuniemi M. ↓, Kastrati M. ↑,
68', Lika Y. ↓, Shinyella S. ↑,
68', Huhtamaki R. ↓, Ahola E. ↑,
69', 🟨,
73', Chishima A. 🟨,
85', Kawale R. ↓, Stenius S. ↑,
86', Kuningas M. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1.

Mikkelin Palloilijat has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

KaPa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mikkelin Palloilijat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mikkelin Palloilijat is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.7:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2.7:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Mikkeli	25	8	5	12	27:35	-8	29
8	KaPa	25	6	6	13	30:45	-15	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.07.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KTP Kotka	3:3 ✺
15.07.26	JIPPO - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	SJK Akatemia - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Haka	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLTWL
- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.07.26	Haka - KaPa	3:1 ✺
21.07.26	KaPa - Klubi 04	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	2:2 ✺
10.07.26	PK-35 Vantaa - KaPa	3:1 ✺
28.06.26	KaPa - JäPS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
19.04.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KaPa	0:1
14.09.24	KaPa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:2
11.07.24	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KaPa	2:6
12.05.24	KaPa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	4:0
Finnish Ykkonen
28.06.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KaPa	6:2
16.04.23	KaPa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:0
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
26.08.16	KaPa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:2

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