Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Tehtaan Kenttä (Valkeakoski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Haka		Ekenäs

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4.00	4.80
	1.5	4.25	5.3	Watch
	1.52	4.47	5.9
	1.52	4.45	5.53	Watch
	1.5	4.4	5.7
	1.54	4.25	5.45	Watch
	1.48	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.48)	4.27 ↓ (4.34)	5.38 ↓ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haka
61.2%

Draw
21.6%

Ekenäs
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.2%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

19.7%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ekenäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Haka - Ekenäs Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Haka will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Haka: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lepola A. (C) 9. Ali Abubakar T. 4. Auvinen E. 3. Friberg N. 8. Karlsson J. 16. Laaksonen O. 13. Mahlamaki M. 30. Purosalo V. 15. Syrjalainen M. 2. Tiihonen A. 77. Whyte O.	1. Heino O. (G) 19. Agbo D. 23. Bah S. 15. Bjorklund A. 22. Kaleba T. 34. Kerrebijn R. 10. Lucas Kaufmann (C) 3. Maes D. 29. Mohamed F. 5. Pakkanen R. 8. Peltola A.
Substitutes
44. Keto-Diyawa A. 7. Lahdensuo T. 11. Lanquedoc I. 23. Lehtinen T. 19. Martikainen N. 21. Nurmi K. 6. Silas C. 5. Sovelius T. 1. Ziprus J. (G)	12. Mikkonen A. (G) 11. Mohammed N. 24. Pelkonen N. 18. Sivonen A.
Coaches
Ekmark T.	Lignell M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Ali Abubakar T. ⚽,
62', 🟨,
63', Laaksonen O. ↓, Lanquedoc I. ↑,
69', Kerrebijn R. 🟨,
70', Agbo D. ↓, Sivonen A. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Friberg N. ⚽, Lanquedoc I. (A),
74', Mahlamaki M. ↓, Silas C. ↑,
75', Syrjalainen M. ↓, Keto-Diyawa A. ↑,
75', Bjorklund A. ↓, Pelkonen N. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, (Own goal),
83', Bah S. ↓, Mohammed N. ↑,
83', Tiihonen A. ↓, Lehtinen T. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 1, Mohammed N. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haka won 4.

Haka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

EIF is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Haka is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haka won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:24. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Haka won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:10. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Haka	25	13	5	7	47:29	18	44
6	Ekenas	25	8	5	12	29:37	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Haka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
05.07.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Haka	2:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
27.06.26	Haka - KTP Kotka	0:2 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
15.06.26	SJK Akatemia - Haka	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	KTP Kotka - Haka	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Haka - JäPS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL
- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkosliiga
04.07.26	Ekenäs - PK-35 Vantaa	0:3 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
27.06.26	JIPPO - Ekenäs	1:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
12.06.26	KTP Kotka - Ekenäs	5:1 ✺
06.06.26	Ekenäs - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
08.05.26	Haka - Ekenäs	4:3
Finnish Ykkoscup
18.02.26	Haka - Ekenäs	2:1
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Ekenäs - Haka	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.08.24	Ekenäs - Haka	1:2
12.04.24	Haka - Ekenäs	2:1
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Ekenäs - Haka	2:4
Finnish Ykkonen
28.09.19	Ekenäs - Haka	2:4

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