Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Mikkelin Urheilupuisto (Mikkeli)


	Mikkelin Palloilijat		Keski-Uusimaa

	1	X	2
	1.9	4.1	3
	1.8	3.7	3.4
	1.9	3.75	3.1
	1.97	3.75	3.34
	1.68	4.31	3.91	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.4
	1.88	3.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.83)	3.87 ↓ (3.96)	3.36 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Palloilijat
49.1%

Draw
23.6%

Keski-Uusimaa
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

23%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

22.6%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Keski-Uusimaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keski-Uusimaa than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mikkelin Palloilijat - Keski Uusimaa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mikkelin Palloilijat (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Keski-Uusimaa (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Keski-Uusimaa (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mikkelin Palloilijat will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Mikkelin Palloilijat (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Keski-Uusimaa (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Uronen J. (C) 30. Ali Abubakar T. 7. Chishima A. 13. Coker M. 6. El Alami R. 27. Forsell N. 12. Kimari O. 15. Kuek A. 4. Laiho V. 8. Torniainen O. 25. Tsopgni N.	1. Hasselman N. (G) 6. Azemi V. 7. Kamara S. 10. Karsama I. 5. Makila R. (C) 4. Niemela O. 22. Norss J. 21. Rokman D. 17. Tiainen S. 15. Toivonen H. 14. Umetsu N.
Substitutes
11. Hayhanen O. 19. Janhunen V. 5. Karttunen A. 3. Kuismala J. 21. Sundberg K. 2. Torniainen A. 1. Volotinen S. (G)	32. Avdi E. 18. Jantunen E. 19. Lokake N. 31. Musa A. 25. Niemi O. 23. Syrjalainen A. 99. Voutilainen N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Karsama I. ⚽,
40', Tiainen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kimari O. ↓, Janhunen V. ↑,
46', Karsama I. ↓, Avdi E. ↑,
58', Niemela O. 🟨,
60', Toivonen H. 🟨,
62', Umetsu N. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Tsopgni N. ⚽,
72', Torniainen O. ↓, Hayhanen O. ↑,
75', Norss J. ↓, Lokake N. ↑,
75', Umetsu N. ↓, Musa A. ↑,
78', Kuek A. 🟨,
82', Ali Abubakar T. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Laiho V. ⚽,
90', Kuek A. ↓, Kuismala J. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Ali Abubakar T. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Keski-Uusimaa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mikkelin Palloilijat could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
25.07.25	Jazz Pori - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:3 ✺
12.07.25	RoPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Espoon Palloseura	1:1 ✺
02.07.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Inter Turku II	2:2 ✺
25.06.25	JJK Jyväskylä - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTTT
- Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa
Finnish Ykkonen
19.07.25	Keski-Uusimaa - Atlantis Helsinki	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Keski-Uusimaa - KPV Kokkola	3:1 ✺
06.07.25	KuPS Akatemia - Keski-Uusimaa	0:1 ✺
02.07.25	Keski-Uusimaa - RoPS	0:4 ✺
26.06.25	Jazz Pori - Keski-Uusimaa	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
11.05.25	Keski-Uusimaa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:2
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
05.07.18	Keski-Uusimaa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:1
06.05.18	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Keski-Uusimaa	1:0
30.09.17	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Keski-Uusimaa	2:2
08.07.17	Keski-Uusimaa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	4:1
Finnish Cup
29.03.15	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Keski-Uusimaa	1:2 ET

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