Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 7

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara (Milan)

Referee: Bozzetto G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus


	Milan		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	4.05
	1.84	3.71	3.80	Watch
	1.72	3.75	4.52	Watch
	1.77	3.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.84)	3.74 ↑ (3.71)	4.04 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
52.6%

Draw
24.6%

Sassuolo
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

23%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Milan - Sassuolo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giuliani L. (G) 8. Arrigoni G. 25. De Sanders K. 23. Piga J. 2. Koivisto E. 11. Grimshaw C. (C) 12. Mascarello M. 5. Cernoia V. 99. Dompig C. 19. Ijeh E. 10. van Dooren K.	16. Durand S. (G) 8. Brustia M. 21. Nash J. J. 5. Caiazzo S. 2. Philtjens D. 12. Missipo K. 4. Fercocq H. 14. Hagemann M. 26. Clelland L. (C) 19. Galabadaarachchi J. 90. Ndjoah Eto N.
Substitutes
29. Appiah K. 44. Belloli S. (G) 34. Bonanomi E. 27. Cesarini E. 39. Donolato V. 13. Estevez S. (G) 7. Kyvag T. 14. Park Soo-Jeong	1. Benz N. (G) 15. Brignoli B. 17. Chaib L. 78. De Bona F. (G) 24. De Rita A. 13. Dhont E. 10. Filis M. 30. Perselli M. 9. Sabatino D. 27. Santoro E. 7. Skupien K. 25. Venturelli C.
Coaches
Bakker S.	Spugna A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Grimshaw C. ↓, Park Soo-Jeong ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Park Soo-Jeong ⚽, Cernoia V. (A),
55', 2 - 0, Ijeh E. ⚽, Cernoia V. (A),
58', Dompig C. 🟥,
74', Fercocq H. ↓, Dhont E. ↑,
74', Brustia M. ↓, Skupien K. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Clelland L. ⚽, Galabadaarachchi J. (A),
86', Cernoia V. ↓, Cesarini E. ↑,
87', Philtjens D. ↓, Sabatino D. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 2, Sabatino D. ⚽, Clelland L. (A),
90+8', van Dooren K. ↓, Kyvag T. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 3.

Milan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sassuolo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Milan is seen as the favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Milan won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan Women
Italian Serie A Women
15.11.25	Como - Milan	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Milan - Juventus	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Milan - Lazio	4:2 ✺
18.10.25	Fiorentina - Milan	4:3 ✺
12.10.25	Milan - Roma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLL
- US Sassuolo Women
Italian Serie A Women
15.11.25	Sassuolo - Ternana	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Inter Milan - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Sassuolo - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Sassuolo - Como	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Parma - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Cup Women
24.08.25	Milan - Sassuolo	0:2
Italian Serie A Women
01.02.25	Sassuolo - Milan	2:3
03.11.24	Milan - Sassuolo	1:0
10.02.24	Sassuolo - Milan	1:0
Coppa Italia Women
06.02.24	Milan - Sassuolo	3:0
18.01.24	Sassuolo - Milan	0:3
Italian Serie A Women
11.11.23	Milan - Sassuolo	1:1

Milan - Sassuolo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide