Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 2

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara (Milan)

Referee: Migliorini A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox


	Milan		Roma

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.95	1.62
	3.9	4.09	1.75
	1.31	4.03	15.36	Watch
	4.26	3.94	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (4.21)	4 ↑ (4)	5.09 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
39.7%

Draw
33.8%

Roma
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

23.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

22.5%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milan's performance.

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+29.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Milan - Roma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giuliani L. (C) 2. Koivisto E. 25. De Sanders K. 23. Piga J. 20. Soffia A. 5. Cernoia V. 12. Mascarello M. 8. Arrigoni G. 18. Renzotti M. 19. Ijeh E. 99. Dompig C.	24. Baldi R. (G) 23. Bergamaschi V. 6. Valdezate O. 4. Heatley W. 2. Veje K. 22. Pandini M. 10. Giugliano M. 15. Dragoni G. 17. Pilgrim A. 7. Viens E. (C) 16. Corelli A.
Substitutes
29. Appiah K. 27. Cesarini E. 39. Donolato V. 13. Estevez S. (G) 21. Keijzer M. 7. Kyvag T. 14. Park Soo-Jeong 24. Tornaghi L. (G) 10. van Dooren K.	3. Di Guglielmo L. 47. Galli G. 20. Greggi G. 11. Haavi E. 8. Kuhl K. 71. Mazzocchi G. (G) 19. Oladipo S. 21. Pante M. 29. Rieke A. 36. Soggiu V. (G) 25. Thogersen F. 44. van Diemen S.
Coaches
Bakker S.	Rossettini L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Mascarello M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Veje K. ↓, Thogersen F. ↑,
60', Cernoia V. ↓, van Dooren K. ↑,
61', Pandini M. ↓, Rieke A. ↑,
61', Dragoni G. ↓, Greggi G. ↑,
61', Pilgrim A. ↓, Galli G. ↑,
66', Soffia A. 🟨,
69', Mascarello M. ↓, Cesarini E. ↑,
69', Renzotti M. ↓, Kyvag T. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, De Sanders K. ⚽,
77', Viens E. ↓, Haavi E. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Corelli A. ⚽, Giugliano M. (A),
90+1', 1 - 2, Giugliano M. ⚽, Corelli A. (A),
90+3', Dompig C. ↓, Appiah K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Roma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Roma is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:38. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan Women
Italian Serie A Cup Women
14.09.25	Milan - Ternana	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Roma - Milan	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly Women
30.08.25	Chelsea - Milan	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A Cup Women
24.08.25	Milan - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly Women
16.08.25	Milan - Young Boys	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLW
- AS Roma Women
UEFA Champions League Women
08.10.25	Real Madrid - Roma	6:2 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
04.10.25	Roma - Parma	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A Cup Women
27.09.25	Juventus - Roma	3:2 ✺
23.09.25	Roma - Lazio	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
18.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Roma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Cup Women
06.09.25	Roma - Milan	1:0
Italian Serie A Women
04.05.25	Roma - Milan	3:3
22.03.25	Milan - Roma	3:1
25.01.25	Milan - Roma	3:2
20.10.24	Roma - Milan	2:1
Coppa Italia Women
10.03.24	Roma - Milan	5:2
03.03.24	Milan - Roma	0:2

Milan - Roma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide