Match Info

Coppa Italia Women - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Curva Fiesole - Viola Park (Bagno a Ripoli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN, LFC TV, LFCTV GO
Usa	DAZN USA


	Fiorentina		Milan

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.45	3.05
	2.02	3.71	3.1
	2.03	3.85	3.16	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.1
	2.02	3.62	3.36
	2.08	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.15)	3.59 ↑ (3.45)	3.13 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
45.3%

Draw
25.5%

Milan
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

26.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Fiorentina - Milan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fiskerstrand C. (G) 2. Woldvik E. 22. Van Der Zanden I. 44. Faerge E. 3. Johansen O. 27. Tryggvadottir K. 21. Severini E. (C) 26. Cherubini M. 15. Bredgaard S. 51. Omarsdottir I. 9. Janogy M.	1. Giuliani L. (G) 2. Koivisto E. 25. De Sanders K. 20. Soffia A. 21. Keijzer M. 8. Arrigoni G. 11. Grimshaw C. 14. Park Soo-Jeong 15. Stokic S. 10. van Dooren K. 7. Kyvag T.
Substitutes
23. Bettineschi G. (G) 4. Bonfantini A. 24. Cetinja S. (G) 77. Curmark F. 85. Filangeri M. 20. Orsi B. 30. Tomassoni E. 11. Wijnants S.	29. Appiah K. 5. Cernoia V. 99. Dompig C. 39. Donolato V. 13. Estevez S. (G) 12. Mascarello M. 18. Renzotti M. 36. Strauss L. 24. Tornaghi L. (G)
Coaches
Pinones-Arce P.	Bakker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cherubini M. ↓, Curmark F. ↑,
46', Johansen O. ↓, Filangeri M. ↑,
61', Tryggvadottir K. ↓, Bonfantini A. ↑,
70', Omarsdottir I. ↓, Eiriksdottir H. ↑,
72', Park Soo-Jeong ↓, Cernoia V. ↑,
80', Kyvag T. ↓, Dompig C. ↑,
90', Stokic S. ↓, Renzotti M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Bredgaard S. ⚽, Faerge E. (A),
90+5', Bredgaard S. ↓, Orsi B. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of away games.

In this match, Fiorentina is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina Women FC
Italian Serie A Women
24.01.26	Lazio - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
20.01.26	Milan - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
17.01.26	Fiorentina - Genoa	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
21.12.25	Bologna - Fiorentina	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A Women
13.12.25	Como - Fiorentina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTWW
- AC Milan Women
Italian Serie A Women
25.01.26	Milan - Ternana	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
20.01.26	Milan - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
17.01.26	Parma - Milan	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
21.12.25	Genoa - Milan	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
13.12.25	Milan - Inter Milan	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Women
20.01.26	Milan - Fiorentina	1:1
Italian Serie A Women
18.10.25	Fiorentina - Milan	4:3
12.04.25	Milan - Fiorentina	5:3
02.03.25	Fiorentina - Milan	0:0
Coppa Italia Women
28.01.25	Fiorentina - Milan	2:0
16.01.25	Milan - Fiorentina	1:1
Italian Serie A Women
24.11.24	Fiorentina - Milan	2:2

Fiorentina - Milan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide