Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Fiorentina U20		Cagliari U20

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	4.75
	1.46	4.05	5.7
	1.48	4.56	5.81	Watch
	1.44	3.8	5.75
	1.43	4.05	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.6)	4.04 ↓ (4.05)	5.69 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina U20
61.6%

Draw
22.5%

Cagliari U20
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.1%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Cagliari U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari U20 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Fiorentina U20 - Cagliari U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Leonardelli P. (G) 21. Angiolini G. 80. Atzeni D. 9. Braschi R. 31. Conti G. 47. Montenegro L. 10. Puzzoli G. 5. Sadotti E. 72. Sturli E. 19. Trapani N. 6. Turnone N.	31. Kehayov A. (G) 13. Cogoni A. 27. Franke A. 16. Grandu N. 11. Hamdaoua N. 8. Malfitano R. 77. Marini M. A. 19. Mendy P. 32. Russo A. 17. Sulev I. 5. Tronci L.
Substitutes
27. Balbo L. 24. Batignani F. 4. Bonanno P. 8. Deli L. 33. Evangelista C. 30. Fei G. (G) 18. Jallow S. 14. Kone M. 11. Maiorana S. 3. Masoni T. 28. Mazzeo B.	22. Are E. (G) 1. Auseklis H. (G) 21. Cardu G. A. 7. Costa L. 4. Doppio A. 23. Goryanov K. 73. Nunn J. 18. Pibiri A. 15. Prettenhoffer M. 30. Roguski S. 2. Vargiu A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Mendy P. ⚽,
24', Marini M. A. 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sulev I. ↓, Nunn J. ↑,
46', Franke A. ↓, Prettenhoffer M. ↑,
46', Marini M. A. ↓, Goryanov K. ↑,
54', Sturli E. ↓, Balbo L. ↑,
82', Russo A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Primavera 1 (Play Out: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Fiorentina U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fiorentina U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Fiorentina U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina U20
Italian Primavera 1
17.12.25	Cremonese U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Fiorentina U20 - Cesena U20	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Napoli U20 - Fiorentina U20	3:1 ✺
01.12.25	Sassuolo U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Fiorentina U20 - Milan U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLTT
- Cagliari U20
Italian Primavera 1
17.12.25	Cagliari U20 - Atalanta U20	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Inter U20 - Cagliari U20	4:3 ✺
06.12.25	Cremonese U20 - Cagliari U20	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Cagliari U20 - Juventus U20	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lecce U20 - Cagliari U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
15.02.25	Fiorentina U20 - Cagliari U20	2:0
23.12.24	Cagliari U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:0

Fiorentina U20 - Cagliari U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide