Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Milan U20		Napoli U20

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.45
	1.55	4.15	5.09
	1.59	4.16	4.98
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.57	3.54	5.23
	1.76	3.66	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.79)	3.69 (3.69)	4.66 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan U20
55.6%

Draw
24.8%

Napoli U20
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

25%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

22%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Napoli U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan U20 than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milan U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli U20 than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Milan U20 - Napoli U20 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Milan U20 (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan U20 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Bouyer L. P. (G) 39. Nolli L. 40. Cisse E. 77. Cullotta A. 29. Perera N. 50. Idrissi Y. 8. Mancioppi T. 38. Hodzic D. 69. Zaramella M. 45. Scotti F. 35. Borsani E.	. Ferrante M. (G) 33. Caucci A. 44. Eletto F. 56. Garofalo C. 97. Olivieri A. 96. Barido F. 19. Genovese M. 4. Cimmaruta A. . Torre C. 10. Borriello S. 9. Raggioli C.
Substitutes
1. Catalano A. (G) 79. Cisse M. 13. Del Forno L. 9. Domnitei F. 16. Dotta C. 19. Grilli L. 56. Mercogliano M. 72. Perina G. 70. Petrone D. 28. Plazzotta F. 95. Vechiu C.	18. Anic I. 3. De Luca A. 5. Gambardella V. 45. Gorica K. 27. Iovine A. . Melnyk N. 1. Pugliese C. (G) 61. Spinelli D. (G) 13. Zappettini F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Torre C. ↓, Gambardella V. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Scotti F. ⚽,
58', Idrissi Y. ↓, Domnitei F. ↑,
71', Gambardella V. ↓, Melnyk N. ↑,
72', Hodzic D. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Scotti F. ⚽,
78', Genovese M. ↓, Zappettini F. ↑,
78', Barido F. ↓, Gorica K. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Gorica K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 15).

Milan U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Napoli U20 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Napoli U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Milan U20 is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Milan U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	AC Milan U20	5	2	1	2	6:6	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan U20
Italian Primavera 1
01.02.26	Verona U20 - Milan U20	4:1 ✺
24.01.26	Milan U20 - Inter U20	2:2 ✺
20.01.26	Frosinone U20 - Milan U20	0:2 ✺
16.01.26	Milan U20 - Fiorentina U20	3:3 ✺
10.01.26	Torino U20 - Milan U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWTL
- Napoli U20
Italian Primavera 1
15.02.26	Napoli U20 - Parma U20	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Juventus U20 - Napoli U20	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Napoli U20 - Atalanta U20	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Cremonese U20 - Napoli U20	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Napoli U20 - Lazio U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
21.12.25	Napoli U20 - Milan U20	1:1

Milan U20 - Napoli U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide