Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 23

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Mineros de Fresnillo		Chihuahua

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.4	1.55
	5.5	3.6	1.57
	5.7	3.61	1.56
	6.34	3.52	1.5
	5.5	3.6	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.71 ↑ (4.82)	3.55 ↑ (3.2)	1.55 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mineros de Fresnillo
15.9%

Draw
25.6%

Chihuahua
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

28.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

28.9%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mineros de Fresnillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Chihuahua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chihuahua's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chihuahua than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chihuahua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Mineros de Fresnillo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chihuahua in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Chihuahua is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mineros de Fresnillo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Mineros de Fresnillo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.02.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Coras	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Real Apodaca - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Calor de San Pedro	3:1 ✺
14.01.24	Saltillo - Mineros de Fresnillo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWLWT
- Chihuahua FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.02.24	Chihuahua - Leones Negros 2	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Tritones Vallarta - Chihuahua	0:1 ✺
26.01.24	Chihuahua - Colima	5:0 ✺
19.01.24	Tecos FC - Chihuahua	0:2 ✺
12.01.24	Chihuahua - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.09.23	Chihuahua - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0
27.02.23	Chihuahua - Mineros de Fresnillo	3:1
01.10.22	Mineros de Fresnillo - Chihuahua	1:2

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