Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Minerva		Alcantarilla

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.4
	1.71	3.45	4.5
	1.7	3.3	3.85
	1.69	3.53	4.67	Watch
	1.66	3.54	4.68
	1.71	3.45	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.51)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	4.43 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minerva
53.4%

Draw
26.2%

Alcantarilla
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

22.4%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minerva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minerva's form might have worsened.

Alcantarilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcantarilla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minerva than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcantarilla than the current prediction. (-4%)

Minerva - Alcantarilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Minerva is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcantarilla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcantarilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Minerva is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Minerva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SFC Minerva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
02.02.25	Caravaca - Minerva	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Unión Molinense - Minerva	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Minerva - Muleño	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Minerva - El Palmar	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	Minerva - Cartagena B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTTLW
- Alcantarilla FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.02.25	Alcantarilla - Muleño	1:3 ✺
26.01.25	El Palmar - Alcantarilla	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Alcantarilla - Plus Ultra	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Alcantarilla - Pulpileño	2:5 ✺
22.12.24	Águilas B - Alcantarilla	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.09.24	Alcantarilla - Minerva	0:2

Minerva - Alcantarilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide